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Pro League
Referee: N Verboomen
Oostende
U S T T T
2–2
Full-time
Mechelen
S U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oostende Mechelen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 92%
83%
100%
Both score Ø 92%
83%
100%
Average goals
4,7
5,0
Scored
2,2
3,3
Conceded
2,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+1,7
This season — Pro League · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 48%
42%
53%
Points per game
1,4
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 71%
64%
78%
Both score Ø 70%
64%
75%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
1,6
2,0
Conceded
1,5
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,1
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

47% Possession 53%
15 Shots 15
6 Shots on target 1
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 11
0 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 4
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Oostende 9. · Mechelen 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 36 24 7 5 +48 79
2 Genk 36 19 11 6 +28 68
3 Antwerp 36 19 9 8 +17 66
4 Mechelen 36 19 8 9 +15 65
5 Gent 36 17 7 12 +27 58
6 Waregem 38 18 4 16 -7 58
7 Beerschot VA 38 16 6 16 -6 54
8 Anderlecht 36 11 19 6 +14 52
9 Oostende 36 15 7 14 +3 52
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 38 14 10 14 -2 52
11 Standard 36 13 9 14 +1 48
12 Kortrijk 38 14 6 18 -8 48
13 Eupen 38 11 15 12 -10 48
14 Charleroi 38 11 12 15 -5 45
15 Cercle Brugge 38 14 3 21 -7 45
16 St Truiden 38 11 9 18 -12 42
17 Beveren 36 8 8 20 -29 32
18 Mouscron 34 7 10 17 -22 31
19 Royal Excel Mouscron 34 7 10 17 -22 31
20 Waasland-Beveren 34 8 7 19 -26 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oostende Mechelen
1–0 F. Sakala
I. Boonen
5′
2–0 F. Sakala
20′
40′
🟨 A. Vranckx
F. Jakel 🟨
42′
Half-time 2–1
47′
F. Druijf 2–1
S. Walsh
G. Hubert 🟨
51′
63′
S. Bateau 2–2
R. Schoofs
A. Hjulsager 🔁
↦ M. Kvasina
67′
K. Vandendriessche 🟨
69′
76′
🔁 G. Hairemans
↦ I. de Camargo
M. D'Arpino 🔁
↦ N. Batzner
80′
81′
🟨 A. Vranckx
81′
🟥 A. Vranckx
88′
🔁 K. Mrabti
↦ I. Kabore
88′
🔁 M. Shved
↦ O. Kaya
F. Sakala 🔁
↦ M. Thiam
90′
F. Marquet 🔁
91′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Oostende

4-3-3
28 Guillaume Hubert G
25 Jelle Bataille D
15 Frederik Jakel D
5 Arthur Theate D
29 Robbie D'Haese D
26 Kevin Vandendriessche M
6 Maxime D'Arpino M
11 Indy Boonen M
17 Andrew Hjulsager F
10 Fashion Sakala F
20 Théo Ndicka Matam F
Bench (7)
99 Bram Castro
33 Anton Tanghe
8 Francois Marquet
34 Nick Batzner
19 Mamadou Thiam
21 Marko Kvasina
24 Evangelos Patoulidis

Mechelen

4-2-3-1
15 Yannick Thoelen G
5 Sandy Walsh D
30 Jordi Vanlerberghe D
4 Sheldon Bateau D
3 Lucas Bijker D
40 Aster Vranckx M
16 Rob Schoofs M
7 Geoffry Hairemans M
19 Kerim Mrabti M
35 Maryan Shved M
9 Ferdy Druijf F
Bench (7)
32 Maxime Wenssens
29 Issa Kabore
14 Siemen Voet
8 Onur Kaya
20 Gustav Engvall
10 Igor De Camargo
21 Niklo Dailly

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,41
U ✓
3,54
B
2,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,77
U2,5
2,04
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

N Verboomen · 117 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.