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Eredivisie
Referee: M Nagtegaal
Groningen
S S S U T
4–1
Full-time
NAC Breda
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Groningen NAC Breda
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
2,5
4,5
Scored
1,2
3,2
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+1,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

2,23 xG 1,21
69% Possession 31%
17 Shots 7
9 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 0
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 1
1 Offside 0
7 Free kicks against 7
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 1

Recent head-to-head meetings

23. Feb -19 NAC Breda – Groningen 0–0 2. Dec -18 Groningen – NAC Breda 5–2 23. Feb -18 Groningen – NAC Breda 1–1 16. Sep -17 NAC Breda – Groningen 2–1

Match report

Groningen NAC Breda
2′
🟨 Jan Van den Bergh
6′
🟥 Enes Mahmutović
1–0 L. Bacuna ⚽
8′
12′
🔁 M. Koscelník
↦ R. Kuijpers
2–0 Rui Mendes ⚽
L. Valente
25′
3–0 M. Rente ⚽
J. Schreuders
31′
Half-time 3–0
S. Bouland 🔁
↦ M. Peersman
46′
48′
⚽ D. Janošek 3–1
59′
🟨 Leo Greiml
61′
🟨 Martin Koscelník
B. Willumsson 🔁
↦ L. Valente
64′
4–1 J. Schreuders ⚽
Rui Mendes
68′
Jorg Schreuders 🟨
70′
Laros Duarte 🔁
↦ T. de Jonge
71′
T. Oosting 🔁
↦ T. van Bergen
71′
75′
🔁 F. Oldrup Jensen
↦ C. Staring
75′
🔁 Saná Fernandes
↦ K. Kostorz
J. Pelupessy 🔁
↦ F. Stam
82′
85′
🔁 Adam Kaied
↦ E. Ómarsson
85′
🔁 M. Garbett
↦ D. Janošek
Full-time 4–1

Line-ups

Groningen

4-4-2
1 E. Vaessen G
7 L. Bacuna D
5 M. Rente D
43 M. Peersman D
22 F. Stam D
14 J. Schreuders M
8 J. Hove M
18 T. de Jonge M
10 L. Valente M
27 Rui Mendes F
26 T. van Bergen F
Bench (12)
67 S. Bouland
9 B. Willumsson
6 Laros Duarte
25 T. Oosting
4 J. Pelupessy
11 N. Emeran
56 M. Speelman
24 D. Baron
21 H. Jurjus
57 N. Eggens
23 F. Turay
70 R. Leicester

Coach: D. Lukkien

NAC Breda

4-4-2
99 D. Bielica G
12 L. Greiml D
15 E. Mahmutović D
5 J. Van den Bergh D
21 Manel Royo D
17 R. Kuijpers M
16 M. Balard M
6 C. Staring M
39 D. Janošek M
10 E. Ómarsson F
9 K. Kostorz F
Bench (10)
3 M. Koscelník
20 F. Oldrup Jensen
19 Saná Fernandes
14 Adam Kaied
7 M. Garbett
1 R. Kortsmit
28 L. Mol
49 T. Troost
25 C. Valerius
2 B. Lucassen

Coach: C. Hoefkens

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,61
🔒
U
4,06
🔒
B
5,33
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
1,62
🔒
U2,5
2,27
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

M Nagtegaal · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
19,5 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.