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Premiership
Referee: N Walsh
Hibernian
S S S U S
0–1
Full-time
Aberdeen
U S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hibernian Aberdeen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
2,3
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
This season — Premiership · 5/3 matches
Win Ø 74%
80%
67%
Points per game
2,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
40%
33%
Both score Ø 37%
40%
33%
Average goals
2,0
1,7
Scored
1,6
1,0
Conceded
0,4
0,7
Goal diff per game
+1,2
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%
9 Shots 14
3 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 4
6 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
5 Offside 1
11 Free kicks against 18
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hibernian 2. · Aberdeen 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Rangers 6 5 1 0 +11 16
2 Hibernian 5 4 1 0 +6 13
3 Celtic 4 3 1 0 +8 10
4 Ross County 6 2 2 2 +0 8
5 St Mirren 5 2 1 2 -2 7
6 ST Johnstone 6 2 1 3 -3 7
7 Dundee United 6 2 1 3 -4 7
8 Aberdeen 3 2 0 1 +1 6
9 Kilmarnock 6 1 2 3 +0 5
10 Livingston 6 1 2 3 -4 5
11 Hamilton 5 1 0 4 -7 3
12 Motherwell 6 0 2 4 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hibernian Aberdeen
39′
L. Ferguson 0–1
Half-time 0–1
54′
🟨 Lewis Ferguson
J. Murphy 🔁
↦ S. Allan
54′
S. Mallan 🔁
↦ J. Doig
64′
67′
🔁 D. McGeouch
↦ S. Wright
J. Gullan 🔁
↦ M. Hallberg
72′
74′
🔁 C. Main
↦ M. Watkins
77′
🔁 N. McGinn
↦ R. Hedges
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Hibernian

3-4-1-2
1 O. Marciano G
4 P. Hanlon D
6 P. McGinn D
5 R. Porteous D
25 J. Doig M
10 M. Boyle M
23 S. Allan F
11 J. Newell M
20 M. Hallberg M
8 D. Wright F
9 C. Doidge F
Bench (9)
18 J. Murphy
14 S. Mallan
19 J. Gullan
21 M. Dąbrowski
16 L. Stevenson
27 B. Stirling
2 D. Gray
12 F. Murray
24 D. McGregor

Coach: J. Ross

Aberdeen

3-4-3
1 J. Lewis G
4 A. Considine D
3 T. Hoban D
5 S. McKenna D
17 J. Hayes M
33 M. Kennedy M
11 R. Hedges F
25 S. Wright F
40 R. McCrorie M
19 L. Ferguson M
50 M. Watkins F
Bench (9)
15 D. McGeouch
9 C. Main
10 N. McGinn
8 F. Ojo
18 C. McLennan
22 R. Hernández
20 T. Černý
2 S. Logan
14 A. Taylor

Coach: D. McInnes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,40
U
3,22
B ✓
2,95
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,16
U2,5 ✓
1,68
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

N Walsh · 171 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.