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Serie A

Referee: G Ayroldi

Lazio

U S T S T

1–0

Full-time

Fiorentina

T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lazio Fiorentina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,8

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

2,2

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,2

This season — Serie A · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 50%

44%

56%

Points per game

1,6

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 78%

78%

Both score Ø 73%

78%

67%

Average goals

4,0

2,8

Scored

2,1

1,4

Conceded

1,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

49% Possession 51%

5 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 1

0 Blocked shots 4

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 6

5 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 11

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lazio 8. · Fiorentina 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	10	9	1	0	+14	28
2	Napoli	9	8	1	0	+16	25
3	Inter	9	5	3	1	+12	18
4	Atalanta	10	5	3	2	+6	18
5	Roma	9	5	1	3	+7	16
6	Juventus	10	4	3	3	+1	15
7	Fiorentina	9	5	0	4	+1	15
8	Lazio	9	4	2	3	+2	14
9	Sassuolo	10	4	2	4	+1	14
10	Verona	10	3	3	4	+3	12
11	Bologna	9	3	3	3	-4	12
12	Empoli	9	4	0	5	-4	12
13	Torino	10	3	2	5	+1	11
14	Udinese	10	2	5	3	-2	11
15	Sampdoria	10	2	3	5	-6	9
16	Venezia	10	2	2	6	-9	8
17	Spezia	10	2	2	6	-11	8
18	Genoa	10	1	4	5	-7	7
19	Salernitana	10	2	1	7	-12	7
20	Cagliari	9	1	3	5	-9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Milan	5	5	0	0	+9	15
2	Roma	5	4	1	0	+6	13
3	Napoli	4	4	0	0	+6	12
4	Lazio	4	3	1	0	+8	10
5	Bologna	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Verona	5	3	0	2	+5	9
7	Inter	4	2	2	0	+9	8
8	Torino	5	2	1	2	+3	7
9	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Juventus	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Fiorentina	4	2	0	2	+1	6
12	Udinese	6	1	3	2	-2	6
13	Cagliari	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Atalanta	5	1	2	2	-1	5
15	Sampdoria	6	1	2	3	-6	5
16	Venezia	4	1	1	2	-1	4
17	Spezia	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	Salernitana	5	1	1	3	-6	4
19	Empoli	5	1	0	4	-7	3
20	Genoa	4	0	2	2	-2	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Napoli	5	4	1	0	+10	13
2	Atalanta	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Milan	5	4	1	0	+5	13
4	Inter	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Empoli	4	3	0	1	+3	9
6	Fiorentina	5	3	0	2	+0	9
7	Juventus	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	+0	7
9	Udinese	4	1	2	1	+0	5
10	Genoa	6	1	2	3	-5	5
11	Sampdoria	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Torino	5	1	1	3	-2	4
13	Lazio	5	1	1	3	-6	4
14	Venezia	6	1	1	4	-8	4
15	Spezia	5	1	1	3	-9	4
16	Roma	4	1	0	3	+1	3
17	Verona	5	0	3	2	-2	3
18	Salernitana	5	1	0	4	-6	3
19	Bologna	4	0	2	2	-7	2
20	Cagliari	4	0	1	3	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.