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Premier League
Referee: David Coote
2–3
Full-time
Chelsea
S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crystal Palace Chelsea
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,5
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 34%
0%
67%
Average goals
2,0
3,7
Scored
0,7
2,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,3
This season — Premier League · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 43%
33%
52%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
30%
67%
Both score Ø 49%
36%
61%
Average goals
2,1
3,2
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,4
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

42% Possession 58%
13 Shots 14
4 Shots on target 6
5 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 9
1 Offside 0
11 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Crystal Palace 14. · Chelsea 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Liverpool 33 29 2 2 +47 89
2 Man City 33 21 3 9 +47 66
3 Leicester 33 17 7 9 +32 58
4 Chelsea 33 17 6 10 +16 57
5 Man United 33 15 10 8 +23 55
6 Wolves 33 13 13 7 +9 52
7 Arsenal 33 12 13 8 +8 49
8 Tottenham 33 13 9 11 +8 48
9 Sheffield United 33 12 12 9 +1 48
10 Burnley 33 13 7 13 -9 46
11 Everton 33 12 8 13 -8 44
12 Newcastle 33 11 10 12 -10 43
13 Southampton 33 13 4 16 -13 43
14 Crystal Palace 33 11 9 13 -12 42
15 Brighton 33 8 12 13 -9 36
16 West Ham 33 8 7 18 -18 31
17 Watford 33 6 10 17 -23 28
18 Aston Villa 33 7 6 20 -26 27
19 Bournemouth 33 7 6 20 -27 27
20 Norwich 33 5 6 22 -36 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Crystal Palace Chelsea
6′
O. Giroud 0–1
Willian
M. Sakho 🔁
↦ G. Cahill
8′
27′
C. Pulisic 0–2
Willian
1–2 W. Zaha
34′
Luka Milivojević 🟨
35′
Half-time 1–2
65′
🔁 R. Loftus-Cheek
↦ R. Barkley
65′
🔁 T. Abraham
↦ O. Giroud
71′
T. Abraham 1–3
R. Loftus-Cheek
2–3 C. Benteke
P. van Aanholt
72′
A. Townsend 🔁
↦ J. Ayew
80′
J. McCarthy 🔁
↦ J. McArthur
80′
80′
🔁 Jorginho
↦ B. Gilmour
M. Meyer 🔁
↦ L. Milivojević
89′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

Crystal Palace

4-5-1
31 Guaita G
24 G. Cahill D
6 S. Dann D
2 J. Ward D
3 P. van Aanholt D
18 J. McArthur M
8 C. Kouyaté M
4 L. Milivojević M
17 C. Benteke F
9 J. Ayew M
11 W. Zaha M
Bench (9)
12 M. Sakho
10 A. Townsend
22 J. McCarthy
7 M. Meyer
13 W. Hennessey
39 T. Mitchell
40 B. Pierrick
44 J. Riedewald
35 S. Woods

Coach: R. Hodgson

Chelsea

4-3-3
1 Kepa G
28 Azpilicueta D
15 K. Zouma D
4 A. Christensen D
24 R. James D
8 R. Barkley M
19 M. Mount M
22 C. Pulisic F
47 B. Gilmour M
10 Willian F
18 O. Giroud F
Bench (9)
12 R. Loftus-Cheek
9 T. Abraham
5 Jorginho
3 Marcos Alonso
23 M. Batshuayi
2 A. Rüdiger
20 C. Hudson-Odoi
13 W. Caballero
11 Pedro

Coach: F. Lampard

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
8,43
U
4,50
B ✓
1,43
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
2,00
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

David Coote · 99 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.