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Championship

Referee: D Whitestone

Luton

U U S U T

1–1

Full-time

Barnsley

T S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Luton Barnsley

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

1,8

Scored

0,7

0,5

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,7

-0,8

This season — Championship · 41/41 matches

Win Ø 26%

27%

24%

Points per game

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

68%

49%

Both score Ø 56%

61%

51%

Average goals

3,0

2,7

Scored

1,1

Conceded

1,9

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

37% Possession 63%

10 Shots 21

5 Shots on target 7

1 Blocked shots 6

6 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 11

3 Offside 1

12 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Luton 24. · Barnsley 23. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leeds	41	23	9	9	+29	78
2	West Brom	41	21	14	6	+31	77
3	Fulham	40	21	9	10	+13	72
4	Nott'm Forest	42	18	14	10	+12	68
5	Brentford	38	18	9	11	+34	63
6	Cardiff	40	16	15	9	+7	63
7	Derby	41	16	13	12	+3	61
8	Swansea	39	15	15	9	+9	60
9	Millwall	41	14	17	10	+4	59
10	Preston	41	16	10	15	+2	58
11	Blackburn	41	15	11	15	+3	56
12	Bristol City	41	15	10	16	-7	55
13	QPR	41	15	8	18	-6	53
14	Reading	41	14	10	17	+5	52
15	Sheffield Weds	41	14	10	17	-6	52
16	Wigan	41	13	11	17	-8	50
17	Birmingham	41	12	13	16	-13	49
18	Stoke	41	13	7	21	-7	46
19	Charlton	41	12	10	19	-9	46
20	Huddersfield	41	12	10	19	-14	46
21	Hull	41	12	9	20	-16	45
22	Middlesbrough	41	10	14	17	-13	44
23	Barnsley	41	10	11	20	-21	41
24	Luton	41	11	7	23	-32	40

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Derby	21	11	8	2	+16	41
2	Leeds	20	12	5	3	+16	41
3	Fulham	21	13	2	6	+10	41
4	Preston	21	11	3	7	+8	36
5	Brentford	18	10	5	3	+22	35
6	West Brom	20	9	8	3	+15	35
7	Cardiff	19	9	8	2	+11	35
8	Blackburn	21	9	8	4	+8	35
9	Nott'm Forest	21	10	4	7	+3	34
10	Swansea	20	9	5	6	+7	32
11	Millwall	20	8	8	4	+6	32
12	Stoke	21	9	3	9	+7	30
13	Wigan	20	8	6	6	+1	30
14	QPR	21	8	5	8	+2	29
15	Charlton	21	8	5	8	+2	29
16	Huddersfield	21	7	6	8	-3	27
17	Sheffield Weds	20	7	6	7	-8	27
18	Bristol City	20	7	5	8	-4	26
19	Luton	20	7	5	8	-5	26
20	Barnsley	21	6	8	7	-5	26
21	Middlesbrough	21	6	8	7	-5	26
22	Reading	20	7	3	10	-4	24
23	Birmingham	20	6	6	8	-5	24
24	Hull	21	7	3	11	-6	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	21	12	6	3	+16	42
2	Leeds	21	11	4	6	+13	37
3	Nott'm Forest	21	8	10	3	+9	34
4	Fulham	19	8	7	4	+3	31
5	Bristol City	21	8	5	8	-3	29
6	Brentford	20	8	4	8	+12	28
7	Reading	21	7	7	7	+9	28
8	Swansea	19	6	10	3	+2	28
9	Cardiff	21	7	7	7	-4	28
10	Millwall	21	6	9	6	-2	27
11	Sheffield Weds	21	7	4	10	+2	25
12	Birmingham	21	6	7	8	-8	25
13	QPR	20	7	3	10	-8	24
14	Preston	20	5	7	8	-6	22
15	Blackburn	20	6	3	11	-5	21
16	Hull	20	5	6	9	-10	21
17	Wigan	21	5	5	11	-9	20
18	Derby	20	5	5	10	-13	20
19	Huddersfield	20	5	4	11	-11	19
20	Middlesbrough	20	4	6	10	-8	18
21	Charlton	20	4	5	11	-11	17
22	Stoke	20	4	4	12	-14	16
23	Barnsley	20	4	3	13	-16	15
24	Luton	21	4	2	15	-27	14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.