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Serie A

Referee: R Abisso

Parma

T U S T T

1–2

Full-time

Fiorentina

U U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Parma Fiorentina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,5

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,2

This season — Serie A · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 31%

38%

24%

Points per game

1,3

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

45%

52%

Both score Ø 59%

52%

66%

Average goals

2,7

Scored

1,4

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,1

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

55% Possession 45%

7 Shots 9

2 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 1

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 0

1 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 14

4 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Parma 12. · Fiorentina 13. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	30	24	3	3	+37	75
2	Lazio	30	21	5	4	+35	68
3	Inter	30	19	7	4	+32	64
4	Atalanta	29	18	6	5	+43	60
5	Roma	29	14	6	9	+13	48
6	Milan	30	13	7	10	+2	46
7	Napoli	29	13	6	10	+7	45
8	Verona	29	11	9	9	+3	42
9	Bologna	30	11	8	11	-4	41
10	Sassuolo	30	11	7	12	+3	40
11	Cagliari	29	10	9	10	+3	39
12	Parma	29	11	6	12	+2	39
13	Fiorentina	29	7	10	12	-7	31
14	Udinese	29	8	7	14	-16	31
15	Torino	30	9	4	17	-22	31
16	Sampdoria	29	8	5	16	-18	29
17	Genoa	29	6	8	15	-21	26
18	Lecce	30	6	7	17	-32	25
19	Spal	29	5	4	20	-27	19
20	Brescia	29	4	6	19	-33	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	15	14	1	0	+28	43
2	Lazio	16	12	3	1	+27	39
3	Inter	16	9	5	2	+19	32
4	Atalanta	15	9	2	4	+20	29
5	Verona	15	8	3	4	+5	27
6	Roma	15	7	3	5	+6	24
7	Sassuolo	15	7	2	6	+8	23
8	Cagliari	14	6	2	6	+4	20
9	Napoli	14	6	2	6	+1	20
10	Milan	14	5	5	4	+0	20
11	Parma	14	6	1	7	+4	19
12	Udinese	14	5	4	5	-3	19
13	Bologna	15	4	6	5	-4	18
14	Torino	15	5	3	7	-11	18
15	Sampdoria	15	4	4	7	-7	16
16	Fiorentina	15	3	6	6	-6	15
17	Genoa	14	4	1	9	-9	13
18	Lecce	15	2	5	8	-11	11
19	Spal	14	2	3	9	-10	9
20	Brescia	14	1	4	9	-12	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	14	10	2	2	+13	32
2	Juventus	15	10	2	3	+9	32
3	Atalanta	14	9	4	1	+23	31
4	Lazio	14	9	2	3	+8	29
5	Milan	16	8	2	6	+2	26
6	Napoli	15	7	4	4	+6	25
7	Roma	14	7	3	4	+7	24
8	Bologna	15	7	2	6	+0	23
9	Parma	15	5	5	5	-2	20
10	Cagliari	15	4	7	4	-1	19
11	Sassuolo	15	4	5	6	-5	17
12	Fiorentina	14	4	4	6	-1	16
13	Verona	14	3	6	5	-2	15
14	Lecce	15	4	2	9	-21	14
15	Torino	15	4	1	10	-11	13
16	Sampdoria	14	4	1	9	-11	13
17	Genoa	15	2	7	6	-12	13
18	Udinese	15	3	3	9	-13	12
19	Brescia	15	3	2	10	-21	11
20	Spal	15	3	1	11	-17	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.