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Championship

Referee: S Martin

Swansea

U U S T U

2–1

Full-time

Sheffield Weds

T T U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Swansea Sheffield Weds

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

3,0

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

0,8

2,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,3

This season — Championship · 38/40 matches

Win Ø 36%

37%

35%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

45%

50%

Both score Ø 54%

55%

53%

Average goals

2,4

2,6

Scored

1,3

1,2

Conceded

1,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%

7 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 3

0 Blocked shots 3

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 8

1 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 20

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Swansea 10. · Sheffield Weds 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leeds	41	23	9	9	+29	78
2	West Brom	40	20	14	6	+29	74
3	Fulham	39	20	9	10	+12	69
4	Nott'm Forest	41	18	14	9	+13	68
5	Brentford	38	18	9	11	+34	63
6	Cardiff	40	16	15	9	+7	63
7	Derby	41	16	13	12	+3	61
8	Millwall	41	14	17	10	+4	59
9	Preston	41	16	10	15	+2	58
10	Swansea	38	14	15	9	+8	57
11	Blackburn	41	15	11	15	+3	56
12	Bristol City	41	15	10	16	-7	55
13	Reading	41	14	10	17	+5	52
14	Sheffield Weds	40	14	10	16	-5	52
15	QPR	40	14	8	18	-7	50
16	Wigan	41	13	11	17	-8	50
17	Birmingham	41	12	13	16	-13	49
18	Stoke	41	13	7	21	-7	46
19	Charlton	41	12	10	19	-9	46
20	Huddersfield	41	12	10	19	-14	46
21	Hull	40	12	9	19	-14	45
22	Middlesbrough	40	10	14	16	-12	44
23	Barnsley	41	10	11	20	-21	41
24	Luton	41	11	7	23	-32	40

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Derby	21	11	8	2	+16	41
2	Leeds	20	12	5	3	+16	41
3	Fulham	21	13	2	6	+10	41
4	Preston	21	11	3	7	+8	36
5	Brentford	18	10	5	3	+22	35
6	Cardiff	19	9	8	2	+11	35
7	Blackburn	21	9	8	4	+8	35
8	Nott'm Forest	20	10	4	6	+4	34
9	West Brom	19	8	8	3	+13	32
10	Millwall	20	8	8	4	+6	32
11	Stoke	21	9	3	9	+7	30
12	Wigan	20	8	6	6	+1	30
13	Swansea	19	8	5	6	+6	29
14	QPR	21	8	5	8	+2	29
15	Charlton	21	8	5	8	+2	29
16	Huddersfield	21	7	6	8	-3	27
17	Sheffield Weds	20	7	6	7	-8	27
18	Bristol City	20	7	5	8	-4	26
19	Middlesbrough	20	6	8	6	-4	26
20	Luton	20	7	5	8	-5	26
21	Barnsley	21	6	8	7	-5	26
22	Reading	20	7	3	10	-4	24
23	Birmingham	20	6	6	8	-5	24
24	Hull	21	7	3	11	-6	24

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	West Brom	21	12	6	3	+16	42
2	Leeds	21	11	4	6	+13	37
3	Nott'm Forest	21	8	10	3	+9	34
4	Bristol City	21	8	5	8	-3	29
5	Brentford	20	8	4	8	+12	28
6	Reading	21	7	7	7	+9	28
7	Swansea	19	6	10	3	+2	28
8	Fulham	18	7	7	4	+2	28
9	Cardiff	21	7	7	7	-4	28
10	Millwall	21	6	9	6	-2	27
11	Sheffield Weds	20	7	4	9	+3	25
12	Birmingham	21	6	7	8	-8	25
13	Preston	20	5	7	8	-6	22
14	Blackburn	20	6	3	11	-5	21
15	Hull	19	5	6	8	-8	21
16	QPR	19	6	3	10	-9	21
17	Wigan	21	5	5	11	-9	20
18	Derby	20	5	5	10	-13	20
19	Huddersfield	20	5	4	11	-11	19
20	Middlesbrough	20	4	6	10	-8	18
21	Charlton	20	4	5	11	-11	17
22	Stoke	20	4	4	12	-14	16
23	Barnsley	20	4	3	13	-16	15
24	Luton	21	4	2	15	-27	14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.