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Serie A

Referee: G Calvarese

Roma

S S T T S

1–1

Full-time

Lazio

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Roma Lazio

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

1,7

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

67%

83%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,0

3,3

Scored

1,8

2,7

Conceded

1,2

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+2,0

This season — Serie A · 20/19 matches

Win Ø 65%

55%

74%

Points per game

1,9

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

60%

79%

Both score Ø 62%

60%

63%

Average goals

3,0

3,4

Scored

1,9

2,4

Conceded

1,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

66% Possession 34%

16 Shots 3

7 Shots on target 2

9 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 1

1 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Roma 5. · Lazio 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	20	16	3	1	+20	51
2	Inter	21	14	6	1	+24	48
3	Lazio	19	14	3	2	+28	45
4	Atalanta	21	11	5	5	+29	38
5	Roma	20	11	5	4	+15	38
6	Cagliari	21	8	7	6	+4	31
7	Parma	21	9	4	8	+2	31
8	Milan	21	9	4	8	-4	31
9	Verona	20	8	5	7	+3	29
10	Bologna	21	7	6	8	-1	27
11	Torino	21	8	3	10	-9	27
12	Fiorentina	21	6	7	8	-4	25
13	Napoli	20	6	6	8	+0	24
14	Udinese	21	7	3	11	-14	24
15	Sassuolo	21	6	5	10	-3	23
16	Sampdoria	21	5	5	11	-13	20
17	Lecce	21	3	7	11	-19	16
18	Spal	21	4	3	14	-18	15
19	Genoa	21	3	6	12	-20	15
20	Brescia	21	4	3	14	-20	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	10	9	1	0	+14	28
2	Lazio	10	8	2	0	+22	26
3	Inter	11	6	4	1	+11	22
4	Parma	11	6	1	4	+7	19
5	Verona	11	5	3	3	+4	18
6	Roma	10	5	2	3	+4	17
7	Udinese	10	5	2	3	+0	17
8	Atalanta	10	5	1	4	+13	16
9	Cagliari	10	5	1	4	+4	16
10	Torino	11	4	2	5	-9	14
11	Sassuolo	10	4	1	5	+2	13
12	Bologna	10	3	4	3	+0	13
13	Sampdoria	11	3	4	4	-1	13
14	Milan	10	3	4	3	-2	13
15	Fiorentina	11	3	4	4	-3	13
16	Napoli	10	3	2	5	-2	11
17	Genoa	10	3	1	6	-4	10
18	Spal	10	2	2	6	-7	8
19	Lecce	10	0	5	5	-7	5
20	Brescia	11	1	2	8	-11	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	10	8	2	0	+13	26
2	Juventus	10	7	2	1	+6	23
3	Atalanta	11	6	4	1	+16	22
4	Roma	10	6	3	1	+11	21
5	Lazio	9	6	1	2	+6	19
6	Milan	11	6	0	5	-2	18
7	Cagliari	11	3	6	2	+0	15
8	Bologna	11	4	2	5	-1	14
9	Napoli	10	3	4	3	+2	13
10	Torino	10	4	1	5	+0	13
11	Fiorentina	10	3	3	4	-1	12
12	Parma	10	3	3	4	-5	12
13	Verona	9	3	2	4	-1	11
14	Lecce	11	3	2	6	-12	11
15	Sassuolo	11	2	4	5	-5	10
16	Brescia	10	3	1	6	-9	10
17	Spal	11	2	1	8	-11	7
18	Sampdoria	10	2	1	7	-12	7
19	Udinese	11	2	1	8	-14	7
20	Genoa	11	0	5	6	-16	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.