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Serie A

Referee: R Abisso

Verona

T U S S U

3–0

Full-time

Lecce

T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Verona Lecce

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

1,3

0,3

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,8

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-1,2

This season — Serie A · 19/20 matches

Win Ø 26%

37%

15%

Points per game

1,4

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

37%

60%

Both score Ø 59%

53%

65%

Average goals

2,3

3,1

Scored

1,2

Conceded

1,2

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

61% Possession 39%

9 Shots 3

5 Shots on target 1

3 Blocked shots 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

5 Corners 0

1 Offside 1

16 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Verona 11. · Lecce 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	20	16	3	1	+20	51
2	Inter	21	14	6	1	+24	48
3	Lazio	19	14	3	2	+28	45
4	Atalanta	21	11	5	5	+29	38
5	Roma	20	11	5	4	+15	38
6	Cagliari	21	8	7	6	+4	31
7	Milan	21	9	4	8	-4	31
8	Parma	20	8	4	8	+0	28
9	Bologna	21	7	6	8	-1	27
10	Torino	21	8	3	10	-9	27
11	Verona	19	7	5	7	+0	26
12	Fiorentina	21	6	7	8	-4	25
13	Napoli	20	6	6	8	+0	24
14	Udinese	20	7	3	10	-12	24
15	Sassuolo	20	6	4	10	-3	22
16	Sampdoria	20	5	4	11	-13	19
17	Lecce	20	3	7	10	-16	16
18	Spal	21	4	3	14	-18	15
19	Genoa	21	3	6	12	-20	15
20	Brescia	21	4	3	14	-20	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	10	9	1	0	+14	28
2	Lazio	10	8	2	0	+22	26
3	Inter	11	6	4	1	+11	22
4	Roma	10	5	2	3	+4	17
5	Udinese	10	5	2	3	+0	17
6	Atalanta	10	5	1	4	+13	16
7	Parma	10	5	1	4	+5	16
8	Cagliari	10	5	1	4	+4	16
9	Verona	10	4	3	3	+1	15
10	Torino	11	4	2	5	-9	14
11	Sassuolo	10	4	1	5	+2	13
12	Bologna	10	3	4	3	+0	13
13	Milan	10	3	4	3	-2	13
14	Fiorentina	11	3	4	4	-3	13
15	Sampdoria	10	3	3	4	-1	12
16	Napoli	10	3	2	5	-2	11
17	Genoa	10	3	1	6	-4	10
18	Spal	10	2	2	6	-7	8
19	Lecce	10	0	5	5	-7	5
20	Brescia	11	1	2	8	-11	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Inter	10	8	2	0	+13	26
2	Juventus	10	7	2	1	+6	23
3	Atalanta	11	6	4	1	+16	22
4	Roma	10	6	3	1	+11	21
5	Lazio	9	6	1	2	+6	19
6	Milan	11	6	0	5	-2	18
7	Cagliari	11	3	6	2	+0	15
8	Bologna	11	4	2	5	-1	14
9	Napoli	10	3	4	3	+2	13
10	Torino	10	4	1	5	+0	13
11	Fiorentina	10	3	3	4	-1	12
12	Parma	10	3	3	4	-5	12
13	Verona	9	3	2	4	-1	11
14	Lecce	10	3	2	5	-9	11
15	Brescia	10	3	1	6	-9	10
16	Sassuolo	10	2	3	5	-5	9
17	Spal	11	2	1	8	-11	7
18	Udinese	10	2	1	7	-12	7
19	Sampdoria	10	2	1	7	-12	7
20	Genoa	11	0	5	6	-16	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.