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La Liga
Referee: Adrian Cordero Vega
Ath Madrid
T T S S T
2–0
Full-time
Malaga
S S U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Malaga
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
1,3
0,5
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

0,92 xG 0,15
53% Possession 47%
15 Shots 5
6 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 1
2 Offside 2
17 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

10. Feb -18 Malaga – Ath Madrid 0–1 16. Sep -17 Ath Madrid – Malaga 1–0 1. Apr -17 Malaga – Ath Madrid 0–2 29. Oct -16 Ath Madrid – Malaga 4–2 23. Apr -16 Ath Madrid – Malaga 1–0

Match report

Ath Madrid Malaga
Dávid Hancko 🟨
15′
Jorge Domínguez 🟨
37′
Half-time 0–0
M. Llorente 🔁
↦ J. Dominguez
46′
49′
🟨 Carlos Puga
Lee Kang-In 🔁
↦ C. Martin
57′
G. Simeone 🔁
↦ R. Mendoza
57′
A. Baena 🔁
↦ A. Ortiz
57′
67′
🔁 R. Rodriguez
↦ C. Dotor
67′
🔁 J. Cruz
↦ J. Munoz
1–0 Lee Kang-In ⚽
D. Hancko
70′
72′
🔁 J. Salinas
↦ C. Puga
M. Hjulmand 🔁
↦ Koke
78′
80′
🟨 Juan Cruz
80′
🔁 R. Enriquez
↦ E. Galilea
80′
🔁 E. Jauregi
↦ D. Lorenzo
2–0 A. Baena ⚽
85′
88′
🟨 Ramón Enríquez
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Ath Madrid

4-1-4-1
13 J. Oblak G
27 J. Dominguez D
24 R. Le Normand D
17 D. Hancko D
30 D. Martinez D
6 Koke M
12 C. Martin M
4 R. Mendoza M
8 P. Barrios M
16 A. Ortiz M
11 A. Lookman F
Bench (12)
1 J. Musso
2 J. Gimenez
14 M. Llorente
22 A. Grimaldo
18 M. Pubill
23 M. Hjulmand
7 Lee Kang-In
5 J. Cardoso
46 J. Castillo
20 G. Simeone
10 A. Baena
29 M. Cubo

Coach: Diego Simeone

Malaga

4-1-4-1
1 A. Herrero G
3 C. Puga D
15 A. Recio D
4 E. Galilea D
31 Rafita D
23 I. Merino M
10 D. Larrubia M
8 C. Dotor M
22 D. Lorenzo M
11 J. Munoz M
9 Chupe F
Bench (11)
13 C. Lopez
5 A. Pastor
12 J. Salinas
14 R. Rodriguez
6 R. Enriquez
7 H. Abaida
28 J. Otunenche
17 E. Jauregi
24 J. Lobete
19 J. Cruz
32 J. Fernandez

Coach: Juan Funes

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,30
🔒
U
5,27
🔒
B
10,19
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
1,71
🔒
U2,5 ✓
2,06
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Adrian Cordero Vega · 30 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.