Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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FBK Karlstad
Sundsvall
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Karlberg
|
2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 6 |
| 2 |
AFC Eskilstuna
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +2 | 4 |
| 3 |
IFK Skövde
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | +1 | 4 |
| 4 |
Varberg
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +5 | 3 |
| 5 |
Husqvarna
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 6 |
Elfsborg
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 7 |
Lindo FF
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +4 | 3 |
| 8 |
Växjö Norra
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 3 |
| 9 |
Bollstanäs
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 10 |
Orebro SK
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 11 |
Haninge
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 12 |
Angelholms FF
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 3 |
| 13 |
Sollentuna
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 |
| 14 |
Olympic
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 15 |
Varnamo
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 16 |
FBK Karlstad
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 17 |
Arlanda
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 18 |
Sandviken
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 19 |
Enköping
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 |
| 20 |
IF Karlstad
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 21 |
Skövde AIK
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 22 |
Eskilsminne
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 23 |
Trollhättan
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 24 |
Piteå
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 25 |
Hässleholms IF
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 26 |
Utsikten
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 27 |
Högaborg
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 28 |
Stockholm Internazionale
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 29 |
Friska Viljor
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 30 |
IFK Östersund
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 31 |
Dalstorps
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 32 |
Vasalund
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 33 |
Football Primetime
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 |
| 34 |
Västra Frölunda
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 3 |
| 35 |
Böljan
|
2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 3 |
| 36 |
Oddevold
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 37 |
Falkenbergs FF
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 38 |
Forssa
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 39 |
Franke
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 40 |
Falu BS
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 41 |
Gefle IF
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | +0 | 1 |
| 42 |
Lidköping
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 43 |
Balkan
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 44 |
Vastkurd
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 45 |
Sävedalen
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 46 |
Ostra Ersboda
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 47 |
Räppe
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 48 |
Viken
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 49 |
IFK Trelleborg
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 50 |
Stocksund
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 51 |
Hudiksvall
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 52 |
Kubikenborg
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 53 |
Jonkopings Sodra
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 54 |
Landvetter IS
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 55 |
Assyriska FF
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 56 |
Karlskrona
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 57 |
Unik FK
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -1 | 0 |
| 58 |
AFC Malmo
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 59 |
Onsala
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 60 |
Sturehov W
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 61 |
Järfälla
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 62 |
IK brage
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 63 |
Rågsved
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 64 |
Konyaspor
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -2 | 0 |
| 65 |
Gute
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 66 |
Vendelsö
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 67 |
Eker Örebro
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 68 |
Astrio
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3 | 0 |
| 69 |
Malmslatts AIK
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 70 |
Studenterna
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -4 | 0 |
| 71 |
Viggbyholms IK
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
| 72 |
Hovshaga
|
1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -5 | 0 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sturehov W
FBK Karlstad
FBK Karlstad
Oddevold
Karlslund
FBK Karlstad
FBK Karlstad
Sandviken
Forward
FBK Karlstad
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.