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Copa del Rey
Referee: Jesús Gil
Sociedad
U T T S T
1–1
Full-time
Mallorca
T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sociedad Mallorca
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,2
Scored
0,5
0,7
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Copa del Rey · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 83%
83%
83%
Points per game
2,7
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 17%
17%
17%
Average goals
1,3
2,7
Scored
1,2
2,3
Conceded
0,2
0,3
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

62% Possession 38%
26 Shots 6
9 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 6
15 Corners 4
1 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 20
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sociedad 3. · Mallorca 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ath Bilbao 6 6 0 0 +12 18
2 Mallorca 6 5 1 0 +12 16
3 Sociedad 6 5 1 0 +6 16
4 Celta 5 4 0 1 +8 12
5 Girona 5 4 0 1 +7 12
6 Sevilla 5 4 0 1 +7 12
7 Getafe 4 3 0 1 +12 9
8 Alaves 4 3 0 1 +10 9
9 Vallecano 4 3 0 1 +8 9
10 Ath Madrid 4 3 0 1 +4 9
11 Tenerife 4 3 0 1 +3 9
12 Valencia 4 3 0 1 +2 9
13 Villarreal 3 2 1 0 +6 7
14 Unionistas de Salamanca 4 2 1 1 +2 7
15 Betis 3 2 0 1 +11 6
16 Espanol 3 2 0 1 +3 6
17 Elche 3 2 0 1 +2 6
18 Las Palmas 3 2 0 1 +2 6
19 Ferrol 3 2 0 1 +2 6
20 Barcelona 3 2 0 1 +1 6
21 Castellon 3 2 0 1 +1 6
22 Lugo 3 2 0 1 +1 6
23 Barbastro 3 2 0 1 +1 6
24 Huesca 3 2 0 1 +1 6
25 Burgos 3 2 0 1 +0 6
26 Arandina 3 2 0 1 +0 6
27 Eibar 3 1 1 1 +1 4
28 Melilla 2 1 1 0 +1 4
29 Alcorcon 2 1 1 0 +1 4
30 Malaga 3 1 1 1 +0 4
31 Granada 1 1 0 0 +3 3
32 Valladolid 2 1 0 1 +2 3
33 Levante 2 1 0 1 +2 3
34 Buñol 2 1 0 1 +2 3
35 La Coruna 2 1 0 1 +1 3
36 Sp Gijon 2 1 0 1 +1 3
37 Leganes 2 1 0 1 +1 3
38 Almeria 2 1 0 1 +1 3
39 Real Madrid 2 1 0 1 +0 3
40 Sestao River 2 1 0 1 +0 3
41 Eldense 2 1 0 1 +0 3
42 Oviedo 2 1 0 1 +0 3
43 Antequera 2 1 0 1 +0 3
44 Andratx 2 1 0 1 +0 3
45 Villanovense 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Atzeneta 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Yeclano 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 Tudelano 2 1 0 1 +0 3
49 Terrassa 2 1 0 1 +0 3
50 Amorebieta 2 1 0 1 -1 3
51 Mirandes 2 1 0 1 -1 3
52 Arenteiro 2 1 0 1 -1 3
53 Osasuna 2 1 0 1 -1 3
54 Atlético Astorga 2 1 0 1 -1 3
55 Turégano 2 1 0 1 -2 3
56 Cayón 2 1 0 1 -2 3
57 Quintanar 2 1 0 1 -2 3
58 Valle Egüés 2 1 0 1 -2 3
59 Boiro 2 1 0 1 -3 3
60 Chiclana 2 1 0 1 -4 3
61 Atlético Lugones 2 1 0 1 -5 3
62 Deportivo Murcia 2 1 0 1 -8 3
63 Hernán Cortés 2 1 0 1 -9 3
64 Tardienta 2 1 0 1 -11 3
65 Cartagena 3 0 2 1 -1 2
66 Santander 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Rotlet Molinar 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Ucam Murcia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Badalona 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Azuaga 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 Barakaldo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
72 Gimnastic 1 0 1 0 +0 1
73 Zamora 2 0 1 1 -1 1
74 Rubí 2 0 1 1 -1 1
75 Cadiz 2 0 1 1 -1 1
76 Linares Deportivo 2 0 1 1 -2 1
77 Orihuela 2 0 1 1 -3 1
78 Gimnástica Segoviana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Cacereño 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Tarazona 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Manresa 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 San Roque Lepe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Pradejón 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Zirauki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Náxara 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 Ursaria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Ibiza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Zaragoza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Navalcarnero 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Mijas Las Lagunas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Monte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Unión Zona Norte 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Ponferradina 1 0 0 1 -1 0
98 Antoniano 1 0 0 1 -1 0
99 Andorra 1 0 0 1 -1 0
100 Teruel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
101 Real Avilés 1 0 0 1 -1 0
102 Real Murcia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
103 Recreativo Huelva 1 0 0 1 -1 0
104 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
105 Águilas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
106 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 Santurtzi 1 0 0 1 -2 0
108 Sauzal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
109 Covadonga 1 0 0 1 -2 0
110 Manchego 1 0 0 1 -2 0
111 Marbella 1 0 0 1 -2 0
112 UD Logroñés 1 0 0 1 -2 0
113 Gernika 1 0 0 1 -2 0
114 Sanluqueño 1 0 0 1 -2 0
115 Mensajero 1 0 0 1 -2 0
116 CF Talavera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
117 Llerenense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
118 Europa Fc 1 0 0 1 -2 0
119 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -3 0
120 Manacor 1 0 0 1 -3 0
121 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -3 0
122 Varea 1 0 0 1 -3 0
123 Peña Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0
124 Lorca Deportiva 1 0 0 1 -4 0
125 Arosa 2 0 0 2 -4 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sociedad Mallorca
21′
🟨 José Copete
Half-time 0–0
S. Becker 🔁
↦ André Silva
46′
50′
G. González 0–1
Jaume Costa
62′
🔁 V. Muriqi
↦ Abdón Prats
Mikel Oyarzabal 🔁
↦ A. Zakharyan
63′
1–1 Mikel Oyarzabal
Brais Méndez
71′
72′
🔁 Manu Morlanes
↦ Antonio Sánchez
Beñat Turrientes 🔁
↦ Brais Méndez
79′
88′
🟨 Jaume Costa
K. Tierney 🔁
↦ Javi Galán
90′
99′
🔁 Darder
↦ Dani Rodríguez
99′
🔁 Toni Lato
↦ Jaume Costa
U. Sadiq 🔁
↦ T. Kubo
104′
Jon Ander Olasagasti 🔁
↦ Mikel Merino
104′
105′
🔁 Omar Mascarell
↦ Samú Costa
105′
🔁 N. Radonjić
↦ C. Larin
109′
🟨 Vedat Muriqi
Robin Le Normand 🟨
113′
Mikel Oyarzabal
penalty missed
121′
122′
V. Muriqi 1–2
2–2 Beñat Turrientes
123′
124′
Manu Morlanes 2–3
3–3 Jon Ander Olasagasti
125′
126′
Omar Mascarell 3–4
4–4 Martín Zubimendi
127′
128′
N. Radonjić 4–5
5–5 S. Becker
129′
130′
Darder 5–6
Full-time 5–6

Line-ups

Sociedad

4-3-3
1 Álex Remiro G
18 H. Traoré D
5 Zubeldia D
24 Robin Le Normand D
25 Javi Galán D
23 Brais Méndez M
4 Martín Zubimendi M
8 Mikel Merino M
14 T. Kubo F
21 André Silva F
12 A. Zakharyan F
Bench (11)
11 S. Becker
10 Mikel Oyarzabal
22 Beñat Turrientes
17 K. Tierney
19 U. Sadiq
16 Jon Ander Olasagasti
20 Jon Pacheco
39 J. Aramburu
13 Unai Marrero
15 Urko González
28 Jon Magunazelaia

Coach: Imanol Alguacil

Mallorca

5-3-2
13 D. Greif G
20 G. González D
24 M. Valjent D
21 Raíllo D
6 Copete D
11 Jaume Costa D
18 Antonio Sánchez M
12 Samú Costa M
14 Dani Rodríguez M
9 Abdón Prats F
17 C. Larin F
Bench (11)
7 V. Muriqi
8 Manu Morlanes
10 Darder
3 Toni Lato
5 Omar Mascarell
23 N. Radonjić
25 Iván Cuéllar
1 P. Rajković
22 Nacho Vidal
2 M. Nastasić
19 Javi Llabrés

Coach: J. Aguirre

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jesús Gil · 103 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.