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La Liga

Referee: Ricardo De Burgos

Ath Madrid

S T S U S

0–0

Full-time

Espanol

U T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Espanol

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

3,0

1,0

Scored

2,0

0,5

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — La Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,0

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

100%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

3,5

1,0

Scored

2,5

0,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,5

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

2,47 xG 0,61

62% Possession 38%

24 Shots 8

7 Shots on target 1

8 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

9 Corners 3

6 Offside 0

6 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 5. · Espanol 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	3	3	0	0	+3	+4.0	9
2	Villarreal	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.4	7
3	Celta	3	2	0	1	+2	-1.3	6
4	Leganes	3	1	2	0	+1	-1.0	5
5	Ath Madrid	2	1	1	0	+3	+0.9	4
6	Real Madrid	2	1	1	0	+3	+1.3	4
7	Osasuna	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.7	4
8	Ath Bilbao	3	1	1	1	+0	-0.0	4
9	Vallecano	3	1	1	1	+0	-1.2	4
10	Valladolid	3	1	1	1	-2	-0.8	4
11	Sociedad	2	1	0	1	+0	-0.7	3
12	Getafe	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.7	2
13	Betis	2	0	2	0	+0	+1.1	2
14	Sevilla	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.5	2
15	Mallorca	3	0	2	1	-1	+0.6	2
16	Las Palmas	2	0	1	1	-1	-1.1	1
17	Alaves	2	0	1	1	-1	-0.5	1
18	Girona	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.3	1
19	Espanol	2	0	0	2	-2	+0.5	0
20	Valencia	3	0	0	3	-4	-3.9	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Celta	2	2	0	0	+3	-0.4	6
2	Villarreal	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.6	4
3	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.8	4
4	Osasuna	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.7	4
5	Valladolid	2	1	1	0	+1	+1.0	4
6	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	+1.7	3
7	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	+0.5	3
8	Barcelona	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.8	3
9	Leganes	1	1	0	0	+1	+0.6	3
10	Mallorca	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.6	2
11	Las Palmas	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
12	Betis	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.2	1
13	Alaves	1	0	1	0	+0	-1.3	1
14	Getafe	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.2	1
15	Valencia	1	0	0	1	-1	-2.2	0
16	Sociedad	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.0	0
17	Sevilla	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.2	0
18	Vallecano	1	0	0	1	-1	-1.0	0
19	Espanol	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+2	+3.2	6
2	Vallecano	2	1	1	0	+1	-0.2	4
3	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.2	3
4	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+1	-0.7	3
5	Sevilla	2	0	2	0	+0	+0.3	2
6	Leganes	2	0	2	0	+0	-1.6	2
7	Ath Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.3	1
8	Getafe	1	0	1	0	+0	+0.5	1
9	Real Madrid	1	0	1	0	+0	-0.4	1
10	Betis	1	0	1	0	+0	+1.3	1
11	Girona	2	0	1	1	-3	-0.3	1
12	Celta	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.9	0
13	Ath Bilbao	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.8	0
14	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.8	0
15	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.6	0
16	Mallorca	1	0	0	1	-1	+0.0	0
17	Espanol	1	0	0	1	-1	-0.1	0
18	Valencia	2	0	0	2	-3	-1.7	0
19	Valladolid	1	0	0	1	-3	-1.7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.