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La Liga
Referee: Antonio Alberola Rojas
Almeria
T S T U U
0–2
Full-time
Vallecano
T T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Almeria Vallecano
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
67%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,8
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,2
Conceded
1,3
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,8
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

1,39 xG 2,07
60% Possession 40%
19 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 4
3 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 5
8 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 25
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

6. Feb -23 Vallecano – Almeria 2–0 8. Oct -22 Almeria – Vallecano 3–1 2. Apr -21 Almeria – Vallecano 0–1 8. Nov -20 Vallecano – Almeria 0–1 13. Jul -20 Almeria – Vallecano 3–2

Match report

Almeria Vallecano
20′
⚽ Isi Palazón 0–1
28′
⚽ Randy Nteka 0–2
40′
🟨 Unai López
Half-time 0–2
Sergio Arribas 🔁
↦ Lázaro
46′
46′
🔁 Ismaila Ciss
↦ Unai López
51′
🟨 Álvaro García
63′
🔁 Salvi
↦ Óscar Trejo
Largie Ramazani 🟨
65′
65′
🟨 Óscar Valentín
Marc Pubill 🔁
↦ Alejandro Pozo
66′
Dion Lopy 🔁
↦ Lucas Robertone
77′
Gonzalo Melero 🔁
↦ Iddrisu Baba
77′
82′
🔁 Radamel Falcao
↦ Randy Nteka
Marko Milovanović 🔁
↦ Largie Ramazani
83′
86′
🔁 Josep Chavarría
↦ Álvaro García
86′
🔁 Diego Mendez
↦ Óscar Valentín
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Almeria

4-2-3-1
1 Diego Mariño G
17 Alejandro Pozo D
3 Edgar González D
22 Srđan Babić D
15 Sergio Akieme D
5 Lucas Robertone M
4 Iddrisu Baba M
14 Lázaro M
7 Largie Ramazani M
10 Adrián Embarba M
9 Luis Javier Suárez F
Bench (12)
19 Sergio Arribas
18 Marc Pubill
6 Dion Lopy
11 Gonzalo Melero
29 Marko Milovanović
37 Bruno Alemán
13 Fernando Martínez
21 Chumi
20 Álex Centelles
2 Kaiky
28 Gui
8 Arnau Puigmal

Coach: Vicente Moreno

Vallecano

4-2-3-1
1 Stole Dimitrievski G
20 Ivan Balliu D
5 Aridane Hernández D
24 Florian Lejeune D
12 Alfonso Espino D
17 Unai López M
23 Óscar Valentín M
7 Isi Palazón M
8 Óscar Trejo M
18 Álvaro García M
11 Randy Nteka F
Bench (11)
21 Ismaila Ciss
19 Salvi
9 Radamel Falcao
3 Josep Chavarría
29 Diego Mendez
30 Miguel Ángel Morro
16 Abdul Mumin
27 Jorge Moreno
28 Pablo Muñoz
10 Bebé
6 José Pozo

Coach: Francisco

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,54
🔒
U
3,26
🔒
B ✓
2,92
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
2,15
🔒
U2,5 ✓
1,72
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.