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Europa League
Referee: A Taylor
Sevilla
S S U U T
1–1
Full-time
Roma
S U U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Roma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,2
1,7
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Europa League · 8/14 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
50%
43%
Both score Ø 41%
38%
43%
Average goals
2,5
2,1
Scored
1,6
1,4
Conceded
0,9
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,00 xG 1,92
67% Possession 33%
19 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
6 Corners 4
1 Offside 1
21 Free kicks against 19
6 Yellow cards 7
0 Red cards 0

Match report

Sevilla Roma
Joan Jordán 🟨
-5′
Rafa Mir 🟨
-5′
21′
🟨 Nemanja Matić
35′
⚽ P. Dybala 0–1
G. Mancini
45′
🟨 Lorenzo Pellegrini
Half-time 0–1
E. Lamela 🔁
↦ Bryan Gil
46′
Suso 🔁
↦ Óliver Torres
46′
48′
🟨 Gianluca Mancini
0–2 G. Mancini ⚽
own goal
55′
Ivan Rakitić 🟨
65′
65′
🟨 Bryan Cristante
68′
🔁 G. Wijnaldum
↦ P. Dybala
74′
🟨 Zeki Çelik
75′
🔁 A. Belotti
↦ T. Abraham
Lucas Ocampos ℹ️
VAR: Penalty cancelled
76′
90′
🔁 N. Zalewski
↦ Z. Çelik
K. Rekik 🔁
↦ Alex Telles
94′
G. Montiel 🔁
↦ Jesús Navas
95′
105′
🟨 Nicola Zalewski
105′
🔁 S. El Shaarawy
↦ L. Pellegrini
105′
🔁 Diego Llorente
↦ L. Spinazzola
Erik Lamela 🟨
109′
120′
🔁 E. Bove
↦ N. Matić
1–2 L. Ocampos ⚽
121′
122′
⚽ B. Cristante 1–3
2–3 E. Lamela ⚽
123′
Gonzalo Montiel 🟨
124′
124′
❌ G. Mancini
penalty missed
3–3 I. Rakitić ⚽
125′
126′
❌ Ibañez
penalty missed
4–3 G. Montiel ⚽
127′
Joan Jordán 🔁
↦ Fernando
128′
Marcão 🔁
↦ N. Gudelj
128′
Lucas Ocampos 🟨
130′
Full-time 4–3

Line-ups

Sevilla

4-2-3-1
13 Y. Bounou G
16 Jesús Navas D
44 L. Badé D
6 N. Gudelj D
3 Alex Telles D
20 Fernando M
10 I. Rakitić M
55 L. Ocampos M
21 Óliver Torres M
25 Bryan Gil M
15 Y. En-Nesyri F
Bench (12)
17 E. Lamela
7 Suso
4 K. Rekik
2 G. Montiel
23 Marcão
8 Joan Jordán
1 M. Dmitrović
31 Alberto Flores
24 P. Gómez
12 Rafa Mir
14 T. Nianzou
43 Manu Bueno

Coach: Mendilibar

Roma

3-4-2-1
1 Rui Patrício G
23 G. Mancini D
6 C. Smalling D
3 Ibañez D
19 Z. Çelik M
4 B. Cristante M
8 N. Matić M
37 L. Spinazzola M
21 P. Dybala F
7 L. Pellegrini F
9 T. Abraham F
Bench (12)
25 G. Wijnaldum
11 A. Belotti
59 N. Zalewski
14 Diego Llorente
92 S. El Shaarawy
52 E. Bove
2 R. Karsdorp
63 P. Boer
99 M. Svilar
62 C. Volpato
68 B. Tahirović
20 M. Camara

Coach: José Mourinho

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Taylor · 215 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.