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Puchar Polski
Referee: K Iwanowicz
1–0
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pogoń Siedlce Resovia Rzeszów
Last 6 — all competitions · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,3
4,0
Scored
3,0
2,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+1,0
This season — Puchar Polski · 3/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
4,3
4,0
Scored
3,0
2,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Pogoń Siedlce 2. · Resovia Rzeszów 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Motor Lublin 4 4 0 0 +6 12
2 Pogoń Siedlce 3 3 0 0 +5 9
3 Kalisz 4 2 2 0 +6 8
4 Slask Wroclaw 3 2 1 0 +6 7
5 Radomiak Radom 3 2 1 0 +5 7
6 Legia 3 2 1 0 +4 7
7 Sandecja Nowy Sącz 3 2 1 0 +3 7
8 Lechia Zielona Góra 3 2 1 0 +3 7
9 Gornik Zabrze 3 2 1 0 +2 7
10 Górnik Łęczna 3 2 1 0 +2 7
11 Piast Gliwice 3 2 0 1 +3 6
12 Resovia Rzeszów 2 2 0 0 +2 6
13 Rakow 2 2 0 0 +2 6
14 Radunia Stężyca 3 2 0 1 +0 6
15 Wisla 3 1 1 1 +4 4
16 Lechia Gdansk 2 1 1 0 +3 4
17 Rekord Bielsko-Biała 2 1 1 0 +3 4
18 Puszcza 2 1 1 0 +1 4
19 Olimpia Elbląg 3 1 1 1 +1 4
20 Stal Rzeszów 2 1 1 0 +1 4
21 Zaglebie 2 1 0 1 +3 3
22 Cracovia 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 Jastrzębie 2 1 0 1 +1 3
24 GKS Katowice 2 1 0 1 +1 3
25 Warta Poznan 2 1 0 1 +1 3
26 Ruch Chorzow 2 1 0 1 +1 3
27 Chojniczanka Chojnice 2 1 0 1 +0 3
28 Chrobry Głogów 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Zaglebie Sosnowiec 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Wisla Plock 2 1 0 1 -1 3
31 Zawisza Bydgoszcz 2 1 0 1 -1 3
32 Jagiellonia 2 1 0 1 -1 3
33 Widzew Lodz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 LKS Lodz 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Garbarnia Kraków 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Arka Gdynia 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Pogon Szczecin 2 0 1 1 -1 1
38 Korona Kielce 2 0 1 1 -1 1
39 Stal Mielec 2 0 1 1 -3 1
40 Nieciecza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Lech Poznań II 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Wisła Puławy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Stal Stalowa Wola 1 0 0 1 -1 0
44 Podbeskidzie 1 0 0 1 -1 0
45 Wikielec 1 0 0 1 -1 0
46 Tychy 71 1 0 0 1 -1 0
47 Lechia Dzierżoniów 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Legnica 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Odra Opole 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Śląsk Wrocław II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
52 Lech Poznan 1 0 0 1 -2 0
53 Górnik Polkowice 1 0 0 1 -2 0
54 Hutnik Kraków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
55 Stomil Olsztyn 1 0 0 1 -2 0
56 SKRA Częstochowa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
57 Łagów 1 0 0 1 -2 0
58 Znicz Pruszków 1 0 0 1 -2 0
59 Wieczysta Krakow 1 0 0 1 -2 0
60 Polonia Środa 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Pogoń Szczecin II 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Sokół Ostróda 1 0 0 1 -3 0
63 Chełmianka Chełm 1 0 0 1 -3 0
64 Radomsko 1 0 0 1 -3 0
65 Bałtyk Gdynia 1 0 0 1 -3 0
66 Wigry Suwałki 1 0 0 1 -4 0
67 Start Jełowa 1 0 0 1 -4 0
68 Ruch Wysokie Mazowieckie 1 0 0 1 -4 0
69 Legia Warszawa II 1 0 0 1 -5 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Pogoń Siedlce Resovia Rzeszów
D. Nowak 🟨
21′
30′
🟨 R. Mikulec
37′
🟨 B. Wasiluk
Half-time 0–0
C. Bujalski 🔁
↦ Marcinho
63′
76′
🔁 D. Morys
↦ R. Mikulec
1–0 N. Fiedosewicz
79′
83′
🟨 B. Kwiecien
85′
🔁 M. Kałahur
↦ P. Wojciechowski
85′
🔁 R. Bąk
↦ B. Kwiecień
92′
🟨 R. Hoogenhout
93′
🟨 D. Morys
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Pogoń Siedlce

J. Kowynia
M. Wichtowski
T. Lewandowski
E. Dzięcioł
P. Misiak
D. Szuprytowski
N. Fiedosewicz
Marcinho
B. Wicenciak
C. Demianiuk
D. Nowak
Bench (8)
C. Bujalski
J. Sinior
M. Grochowski
M. Kikolski
M. Kołoczek
M. Piotrowski
P. Łydkowski
S. Mucha

Coach: M. Saganowski

Resovia Rzeszów

N. Sujecki
D. Kubowicz
B. Kwiecień
R. Mikulec
R. Hoogenhout
B. Wasiluk
B. Eizenchart
K. Antonik
P. Wojciechowski
M. Górski
Pedro Vieira
Bench (9)
D. Morys
M. Kałahur
R. Bąk
A. Komor
B. Pindroch
F. Mikrut
K. Chuchro
K. Szymkiewicz
M. Bondarenko

Coach: M. Hajdo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.