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LaLiga2
Referee: Víctor García
Eibar
T S U S T
4–0
Full-time
Granada
U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Eibar Granada
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
50%
17%
Both score Ø 25%
50%
0%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
1,3
1,2
Conceded
1,0
0,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — LaLiga2 · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
50%
75%
Points per game
1,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
75%
25%
Both score Ø 38%
75%
0%
Average goals
2,8
2,0
Scored
1,5
1,8
Conceded
1,3
0,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

55% Possession 45%
14 Shots 8
8 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
7 Corners 0
5 Offside 1
13 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Eibar 11. · Granada 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Las Palmas 5 3 2 0 +7 11
2 Alaves 5 3 2 0 +3 11
3 Albacete 5 3 1 1 +2 10
4 Granada 4 3 0 1 +6 9
5 Levante 5 2 3 0 +5 9
6 Burgos 5 2 3 0 +2 9
7 Cartagena 5 3 0 2 +1 9
8 Sp Gijon 5 2 2 1 +3 8
9 Oviedo 5 2 2 1 +1 8
10 Huesca 5 2 1 2 +2 7
11 Eibar 4 2 1 1 +1 7
12 Lugo 5 2 1 2 +0 7
13 Villarreal B 5 2 1 2 -1 7
14 Andorra 5 2 1 2 -3 7
15 Ponferradina 5 2 0 3 -2 6
16 Zaragoza 5 1 2 2 -1 5
17 Tenerife 5 1 1 3 -3 4
18 Ibiza 5 1 1 3 -5 4
19 Leganes 5 1 0 4 -3 3
20 Santander 5 1 0 4 -4 3
21 Malaga 5 1 0 4 -5 3
22 Mirandes 5 0 2 3 -6 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Eibar Granada
Gustavo Blanco 🟨
19′
1–0 Matheus Pereira
Ager Aketxe
25′
Ager Aketxe 🟨
34′
Half-time 1–0
Jon Bautista 🔁
↦ G. Blanco
46′
48′
🟨 Myrto Uzuni
60′
🔁 Quini
↦ J. Silva
2–0 Álvaro Tejero
Ager Aketxe
69′
3–0 Stoichkov
Imanol García de Albéniz
71′
Javi Muñoz 🔁
↦ Ager Aketxe
72′
Quique González 🔁
↦ Stoichkov
72′
72′
🔁 Bryan Zaragoza
↦ M. Uzuni
72′
🔁 Alberto Perea
↦ Antonio Puertas
4–0 Jon Bautista
Javi Muñoz
85′
Peru Nolaskoain 🔁
↦ Matheus Pereira
87′
Chema Rodríguez 🔁
↦ Arbilla
87′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Eibar

4-2-3-1
13 Yoel G
15 Álvaro Tejero D
5 Juan Berrocal D
23 Arbilla D
30 Imanol García de Albéniz D
6 Sergio Álvarez M
8 Matheus Pereira M
17 José Corpas M
10 Ager Aketxe M
19 Stoichkov M
9 G. Blanco F
Bench (9)
18 Jon Bautista
14 Javi Muñoz
7 Quique González
22 Peru Nolaskoain
2 Chema Rodríguez
11 Y. Rahmani
3 Frederico Venâncio
21 Vadillo
1 Ander Cantero

Coach: Gaizka Garitano

Granada

4-4-2
13 André Ferreira G
30 Ricard Sánchez D
4 Miguel Rubio D
24 E. Cabaco D
5 J. Silva D
10 Antonio Puertas M
6 Y. Bodiger M
18 N. Petrović M
11 M. Uzuni M
19 Jorge Molina F
9 José Callejón F
Bench (10)
17 Quini
26 Bryan Zaragoza
22 Alberto Perea
12 Víctor Meseguer
29 Pepe Sánchez
16 Víctor Díaz
8 M. Arezo
1 Raúl Fernández
23 Rochina
20 Sergio Ruiz

Coach: Karanka

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,64
U
3,02
B
2,79
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,26
U2,5
1,61
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Víctor García · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.