La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Betis
Granada
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–1
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
28 | 19 | 4 | 5 | +36 | 61 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | +32 | 59 |
| 3 |
Sevilla
|
29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | +12 | 51 |
| 4 |
Sociedad
|
28 | 14 | 5 | 9 | +12 | 47 |
| 5 |
Getafe
|
28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 46 |
| 6 |
Ath Madrid
|
28 | 11 | 13 | 4 | +10 | 46 |
| 7 |
Valencia
|
28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | -1 | 43 |
| 8 |
Villarreal
|
28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | +7 | 41 |
| 9 |
Granada
|
28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | +2 | 41 |
| 10 |
Ath Bilbao
|
28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | +6 | 38 |
| 11 |
Osasuna
|
28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | -4 | 35 |
| 12 |
Levante
|
29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 |
Betis
|
28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 |
Valladolid
|
28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | -9 | 32 |
| 15 |
Alaves
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -10 | 32 |
| 16 |
Eibar
|
28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | -16 | 27 |
| 17 |
Celta
|
28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | -13 | 26 |
| 18 |
Mallorca
|
28 | 7 | 4 | 17 | -20 | 25 |
| 19 |
Leganes
|
28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -19 | 23 |
| 20 |
Espanol
|
28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | -21 | 23 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Joel Robles
G
Aïssa Mandi
D
Alfonso Pedraza
D
Edgar Gonzalez
M
Sergio Canales
M
Loren Moron
F
Coach: Rubí
Rui Silva
G
Dimitri Foulquier
D
Jesús Vallejo
D
Carlos Neva
D
Carlos Fernández
F
Coach: Diego Martínez
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sevilla
Betis
Betis
Real Madrid
Valencia
Betis
Betis
Mallorca
Leganes
Betis
César Soto · 119 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.