La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Celta
Leganes
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | +22 | 31 |
| 2 |
Sevilla
|
15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | +11 | 28 |
| 3 |
Ath Madrid
|
15 | 7 | 7 | 1 | +11 | 28 |
| 4 |
Real Madrid
|
15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | +4 | 26 |
| 5 |
Alaves
|
15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | +1 | 24 |
| 6 |
Levante
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 22 |
| 7 |
Betis
|
15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 22 |
| 8 |
Getafe
|
15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | +4 | 21 |
| 9 |
Girona
|
15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | +0 | 21 |
| 10 |
Espanol
|
15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 21 |
| 11 |
Celta
|
15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | +4 | 20 |
| 12 |
Valladolid
|
15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | -2 | 20 |
| 13 |
Sociedad
|
15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | +0 | 19 |
| 14 |
Eibar
|
15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | -4 | 19 |
| 15 |
Valencia
|
15 | 3 | 9 | 3 | +0 | 18 |
| 16 |
Leganes
|
15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | -4 | 17 |
| 17 |
Villarreal
|
15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -4 | 14 |
| 18 |
Ath Bilbao
|
15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | -8 | 14 |
| 19 |
Vallecano
|
15 | 2 | 4 | 9 | -15 | 10 |
| 20 |
Huesca
|
15 | 1 | 4 | 10 | -18 | 7 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
David Costas
D
Iago Aspas
F
Coach: Miguel Cardoso
Pichu Cuéllar
G
Gerard Gumbau
M
Mikel Vesga
M
Coach: M. Pellegrino
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Villarreal
Celta
Celta
Huesca
Sociedad
Celta
Celta
Real Madrid
Betis
Celta
Jose Luis Munuera Montero · 88 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.