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Bundesliga
Referee: M Jöllenbeck
Hoffenheim
T T T S S
2–1
Full-time
Stuttgart
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Hoffenheim Stuttgart
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
50%
0%
Points per game
1,5
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,8
Scored
1,7
0,8
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-1,2
This season — Bundesliga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 33%
48%
17%
Points per game
1,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
65%
52%
Both score Ø 59%
57%
61%
Average goals
3,5
3,0
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,5
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,7
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%
19 Shots 13
7 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 3
2 Offside 4
14 Free kicks against 13
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Hoffenheim 5. · Stuttgart 17.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 23 18 1 4 +48 55
2 Dortmund 23 16 1 6 +27 49
3 Leverkusen 23 12 5 6 +21 41
4 RB Leipzig 23 11 4 8 +21 37
5 Hoffenheim 23 11 4 8 +10 37
6 Freiburg 23 10 7 6 +10 37
7 FC Koln 23 9 8 6 -2 35
8 Mainz 23 10 4 9 +8 34
9 Union Berlin 23 9 7 7 -2 34
10 Ein Frankfurt 23 8 7 8 -2 31
11 Bochum 23 8 5 10 -8 29
12 Wolfsburg 23 8 3 12 -11 27
13 M'gladbach 23 7 5 11 -16 26
14 Bielefeld 23 5 10 8 -7 25
15 Hertha 23 6 5 12 -26 23
16 Augsburg 23 5 7 11 -15 22
17 Stuttgart 23 4 7 12 -16 19
18 Greuther Furth 23 3 4 16 -40 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Hoffenheim Stuttgart
Dennis Geiger 🟨
16′
Christoph Baumgartner 🟨
32′
37′
🔁 P. Förster
↦ O. Mangala
Georginio Rutter ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
44′
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 S. Kalajdzic
↦ C. Führich
Benjamin Hübner 🟨
49′
S. Rudy 🔁
↦ D. Geiger
58′
58′
W. Endo 0–1
S. Kalajdzic
M. Dabbur 🔁
↦ P. Kadeřábek
70′
A. Stiller 🔁
↦ I. Bebou
70′
73′
🔁 R. Massimo
↦ P. Stenzel
81′
🟨 Waldemar Anton
J. Bruun Larsen 🔁
↦ G. Rutter
81′
1–1 C. Baumgartner
S. Rudy
85′
86′
🔁 E. Thommy
↦ Omar Marmoush
2–1 C. Baumgartner
J. Bruun Larsen
90′
95′
🟨 Philipp Förster
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Hoffenheim

3-4-2-1
1 O. Baumann G
21 B. Hübner D
3 P. Kadeřábek M
38 S. Posch D
17 D. Raum M
11 F. Grillitsch D
8 D. Geiger M
14 C. Baumgartner M
27 A. Kramarić F
9 I. Bebou F
33 G. Rutter F
Bench (9)
16 S. Rudy
10 M. Dabbur
13 A. Stiller
7 J. Bruun Larsen
25 K. Akpoguma
24 J. Che
18 D. Samassékou
37 L. Philipp
15 K. Nuhu

Coach: S. Hoeneb

Stuttgart

4-5-1
1 F. Müller G
16 A. Karazor M
2 W. Anton D
15 P. Stenzel D
5 K. Mavropanos D
37 H. Ito D
3 W. Endo M
23 O. Mangala M
22 C. Führich M
17 Omar Marmoush M
18 Tiago Tomás F
Bench (9)
20 P. Förster
9 S. Kalajdzic
30 R. Massimo
11 E. Thommy
33 F. Bredlow
25 L. Egloff
34 Ö. Beyaz
6 C. Mola
32 N. Ahamada

Coach: P. Matarazzo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,53
U
4,59
B
5,88
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,54
U2,5
2,49
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Jöllenbeck · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.