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Ligue 2

Paris FC

T U S S S

1–0

Full-time

Bastia

U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris FC Bastia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

17%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

1,7

Scored

1,0

0,8

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,0

This season — Ligue 2 · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

25%

Points per game

1,7

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 28%

31%

25%

Both score Ø 41%

38%

44%

Average goals

2,1

1,9

Scored

1,2

0,9

Conceded

0,9

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

14 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 3

4 Corners 4

11 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Paris FC 5. · Bastia 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	16	9	6	1	+22	33
2	Ajaccio	16	9	4	3	+10	31
3	Auxerre	16	8	5	3	+8	29
4	Sochaux	16	8	4	4	+3	28
5	Paris FC	16	8	3	5	+4	27
6	Le Havre	16	6	8	2	+6	26
7	Pau FC	16	7	3	6	+1	24
8	Rodez	16	6	4	6	+2	22
9	Niort	16	6	3	7	-2	21
10	Grenoble	16	6	3	7	-4	21
11	Nimes	16	5	5	6	-1	20
12	Dijon	16	6	1	9	-5	19
13	Valenciennes	16	5	4	7	-9	19
14	Bastia	16	4	6	6	-2	18
15	Guingamp	16	4	6	6	-4	18
16	Caen	16	4	5	7	-1	17
17	Quevilly Rouen	16	4	5	7	-7	17
18	Dunkerque	16	4	4	8	-5	16
19	Amiens	16	2	9	5	-2	15
20	Nancy	16	2	6	8	-14	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajaccio	8	6	1	1	+8	19
2	Pau FC	9	6	1	2	+7	19
3	Toulouse	8	5	2	1	+13	17
4	Auxerre	8	5	2	1	+11	17
5	Grenoble	8	5	1	2	+4	16
6	Le Havre	9	4	4	1	+4	16
7	Sochaux	8	4	2	2	+2	14
8	Dijon	9	4	1	4	+0	13
9	Bastia	8	2	6	0	+4	12
10	Paris FC	7	3	3	1	+3	12
11	Niort	7	3	1	3	+1	10
12	Rodez	7	2	3	2	+1	9
13	Nimes	8	2	3	3	-2	9
14	Dunkerque	9	2	3	4	-3	9
15	Guingamp	7	2	2	3	-1	8
16	Caen	9	2	1	6	-1	7
17	Amiens	8	1	4	3	-1	7
18	Valenciennes	8	2	1	5	-8	7
19	Quevilly Rouen	7	1	3	3	-4	6
20	Nancy	8	1	3	4	-9	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Toulouse	8	4	4	0	+9	16
2	Paris FC	9	5	0	4	+1	15
3	Sochaux	8	4	2	2	+1	14
4	Rodez	9	4	1	4	+1	13
5	Ajaccio	8	3	3	2	+2	12
6	Valenciennes	8	3	3	2	-1	12
7	Auxerre	8	3	3	2	-3	12
8	Nimes	8	3	2	3	+1	11
9	Quevilly Rouen	9	3	2	4	-3	11
10	Niort	9	3	2	4	-3	11
11	Le Havre	7	2	4	1	+2	10
12	Caen	7	2	4	1	+0	10
13	Guingamp	9	2	4	3	-3	10
14	Amiens	8	1	5	2	-1	8
15	Dunkerque	7	2	1	4	-2	7
16	Nancy	8	1	3	4	-5	6
17	Dijon	7	2	0	5	-5	6
18	Bastia	8	2	0	6	-6	6
19	Pau FC	7	1	2	4	-6	5
20	Grenoble	8	1	2	5	-8	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.