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Ekstraklasa

Stal Mielec

U U S U T

2–1

Full-time

Wisla Plock

T S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stal Mielec Wisla Plock

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,5

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,7

Scored

1,8

1,5

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,3

This season — Ekstraklasa · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 38%

31%

44%

Points per game

1,3

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

50%

56%

Both score Ø 56%

56%

Average goals

2,9

3,1

Scored

1,4

1,6

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Stal Mielec 10. · Wisla Plock 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	16	10	5	1	+23	35
2	Pogon Szczecin	16	9	5	2	+17	32
3	Lechia Gdansk	16	8	6	2	+10	30
4	Rakow	15	8	5	2	+11	29
5	Radomiak Radom	16	7	7	2	+8	28
6	Slask Wroclaw	16	6	6	4	+5	24
7	Wisla Plock	16	7	2	7	+2	23
8	Piast Gliwice	16	6	3	7	+1	21
9	Gornik Zabrze	15	6	3	6	-1	21
10	Stal Mielec	16	5	6	5	-2	21
11	Jagiellonia	16	5	6	5	-2	21
12	Cracovia	16	5	5	6	-2	20
13	Wisla	16	5	2	9	-11	17
14	Zaglebie	15	5	2	8	-11	17
15	Nieciecza	15	2	6	7	-6	12
16	Legia	14	4	0	10	-10	12
17	Warta Poznan	16	2	5	9	-11	11
18	Leczna	16	1	6	9	-21	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Lech Poznan	9	7	2	0	+19	23
2	Pogon Szczecin	8	7	1	0	+17	22
3	Wisla Plock	8	6	2	0	+12	20
4	Lechia Gdansk	7	5	2	0	+8	17
5	Jagiellonia	9	4	4	1	+5	16
6	Radomiak Radom	7	4	3	0	+6	15
7	Stal Mielec	8	4	2	2	+1	14
8	Slask Wroclaw	8	3	4	1	+3	13
9	Piast Gliwice	9	4	1	4	+1	13
10	Gornik Zabrze	8	4	1	3	+1	13
11	Rakow	6	3	3	0	+8	12
12	Cracovia	7	3	2	2	+2	11
13	Zaglebie	7	3	1	3	+0	10
14	Wisla	8	3	1	4	-3	10
15	Nieciecza	8	2	3	3	-2	9
16	Legia	7	3	0	4	-2	9
17	Leczna	9	1	4	4	-10	7
18	Warta Poznan	8	0	4	4	-7	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rakow	9	5	2	2	+3	17
2	Lechia Gdansk	9	3	4	2	+2	13
3	Radomiak Radom	9	3	4	2	+2	13
4	Lech Poznan	7	3	3	1	+4	12
5	Slask Wroclaw	8	3	2	3	+2	11
6	Pogon Szczecin	8	2	4	2	+0	10
7	Cracovia	9	2	3	4	-4	9
8	Piast Gliwice	7	2	2	3	+0	8
9	Gornik Zabrze	7	2	2	3	-2	8
10	Stal Mielec	8	1	4	3	-3	7
11	Warta Poznan	8	2	1	5	-4	7
12	Wisla	8	2	1	5	-8	7
13	Zaglebie	8	2	1	5	-11	7
14	Jagiellonia	7	1	2	4	-7	5
15	Nieciecza	7	0	3	4	-4	3
16	Legia	7	1	0	6	-8	3
17	Wisla Plock	8	1	0	7	-10	3
18	Leczna	7	0	2	5	-11	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.