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Champions League
Referee: Ə Ağayev
FK Crvena Zvezda
T U T T T
2–3
Full-time
Man City
U S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FK Crvena Zvezda Man City
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
3,7
4,2
Scored
1,0
2,2
Conceded
2,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-1,7
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 50%
0%
100%
Points per game
0,2
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 90%
80%
100%
Both score Ø 80%
80%
80%
Average goals
3,4
4,0
Scored
1,0
3,0
Conceded
2,4
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,4
+2,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

1,10 xG 1,36
31% Possession 69%
11 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 2
3 Offside 3
21 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

19. Sep -23 Man City – FK Crvena Zvezda 3–1

Match report

FK Crvena Zvezda Man City
19′
⚽ M. Hamilton 0–1
Matheus Nunes
Half-time 0–1
Uroš Spajić 🟨
46′
46′
🔁 P. Foden
↦ J. Grealish
52′
🟨 Kalvin Phillips
A. Katai 🔁
↦ G. Kanga
57′
V. Lučić 🔁
↦ P. Olayinka
57′
J. Mijatović 🔁
↦ C. Ndiaye
57′
62′
⚽ O. Bobb 0–2
R. Lewis
Srđan Mijailović 🟨
65′
M. Rodić 🔁
↦ U. Spajić
65′
76′
🔁 Mahamadou Susoho
↦ M. Kovačić
1–2 Hwang In-Beom ⚽
O. Bukari
76′
U. Kabić 🔁
↦ K. Nedeljković
78′
82′
🔁 Bernardo Silva
↦ Matheus Nunes
Nasser Djiga 🟨
84′
85′
⚽ K. Phillips 1–3
86′
🔁 N. Aké
↦ J. Stones
2–3 A. Katai ⚽
Hwang In-Beom
91′
Full-time 2–3

Line-ups

FK Crvena Zvezda

5-3-2
18 O. Glazer G
2 K. Nedeljković D
24 N. Djiga D
5 U. Spajić D
15 A. Dragović D
14 P. Olayinka D
8 G. Kanga M
33 S. Mijailović M
66 Hwang In-Beom M
30 O. Bukari F
9 C. Ndiaye F
Bench (12)
10 A. Katai
37 V. Lučić
22 J. Mijatović
23 M. Rodić
70 U. Kabić
3 M. Degenek
17 J. Krasso
20 K. Kangwa
80 S. Mitrović
27 N. Vasiljević
19 N. Milunović
6 M. Stamenić

Coach: B. Bakhar

Man City

4-2-3-1
18 S. Ortega G
82 R. Lewis D
5 J. Stones D
25 M. Akanji D
21 Sergio Gómez D
4 K. Phillips M
8 M. Kovačić M
92 M. Hamilton M
27 Matheus Nunes M
10 J. Grealish M
52 O. Bobb F
Bench (12)
47 P. Foden
76 Mahamadou Susoho
20 Bernardo Silva
6 N. Aké
19 J. Álvarez
16 Rodri
3 Rúben Dias
2 K. Walker
24 J. Gvardiol
88 T. Grant
68 M. Alleyne
33 S. Carson

Coach: Pep Guardiola

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Ə Ağayev · 25 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.