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Championship

Referee: M Donohue

Norwich

S S T S U

3–1

Full-time

Sheffield Weds

T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Norwich Sheffield Weds

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Championship · 19/20 matches

Win Ø 29%

42%

15%

Points per game

1,4

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 57%

68%

45%

Both score Ø 52%

68%

35%

Average goals

3,4

2,2

Scored

1,7

0,7

Conceded

1,7

1,6

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,9

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

1,55 xG 1,34

48% Possession 52%

12 Shots 21

5 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 9

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 7

1 Offside 0

6 Free kicks against 10

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Norwich 13. · Sheffield Weds 23. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ipswich	21	16	3	2	+19	+10.9	51
2	Leicester	20	16	1	3	+26	+16.1	49
3	Leeds	20	11	5	4	+14	+15.3	38
4	West Brom	20	10	5	5	+13	+2.8	35
5	Southampton	19	10	5	4	+3	+7.3	35
6	Sunderland	21	10	3	8	+9	+13.3	33
7	Preston	21	9	5	7	-6	-8.2	32
8	Blackburn	21	10	1	10	+0	+2.1	31
9	Cardiff	20	9	3	8	+5	-4.9	30
10	Hull	20	8	6	6	+3	+5.2	30
11	Watford	21	7	7	7	+4	+1.9	28
12	Middlesbrough	20	8	3	9	+0	+9.3	27
13	Norwich	19	8	3	8	-1	-2.2	27
14	Bristol City	21	7	5	9	-2	+1.5	26
15	Coventry	20	6	7	7	+3	+7.4	25
16	Swansea	21	6	7	8	+0	-6.4	25
17	Birmingham	20	6	5	9	-6	-2.9	23
18	Plymouth	20	6	4	10	-2	-10.7	22
19	Stoke	21	6	4	11	-9	-1.1	22
20	Millwall	20	5	6	9	-6	-7.2	21
21	Huddersfield	21	4	9	8	-15	-11.3	21
22	QPR	20	5	4	11	-11	-8.8	19
23	Sheffield Weds	20	3	4	13	-18	-6.4	13
24	Rotherham	21	2	7	12	-23	-23.2	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Ipswich	10	9	0	1	+13	+10.3	27
2	Leicester	10	8	0	2	+13	+8.7	24
3	Leeds	10	7	3	0	+12	+12.8	24
4	Sunderland	11	7	0	4	+7	+7.1	21
5	West Brom	10	6	2	2	+8	+4.2	20
6	Plymouth	10	6	1	3	+10	-3.9	19
7	Watford	12	5	4	3	+10	+7.8	19
8	Cardiff	10	6	1	3	+6	-1.7	19
9	Birmingham	10	5	4	1	+6	+1.1	19
10	Coventry	10	4	5	1	+5	+5.7	17
11	Southampton	9	5	2	2	+4	+6.2	17
12	Preston	10	5	2	3	-2	-3.4	17
13	Hull	10	4	4	2	+5	+6.4	16
14	Norwich	9	5	1	3	+2	+2.5	16
15	Middlesbrough	10	5	1	4	+2	+7.2	16
16	Blackburn	11	5	0	6	-4	+1.5	15
17	Bristol City	10	4	2	4	+1	+2.3	14
18	Stoke	11	4	2	5	-3	+1.2	14
19	Swansea	10	2	5	3	+0	-0.1	11
20	Rotherham	11	2	5	4	-2	-7.7	11
21	Huddersfield	11	2	5	4	-8	-4.4	11
22	Sheffield Weds	10	2	3	5	-6	-0.4	9
23	QPR	9	2	2	5	-6	-2.6	8
24	Millwall	10	2	2	6	-8	-3.6	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Leicester	10	8	1	1	+13	+7.4	25
2	Ipswich	11	7	3	1	+6	+0.5	24
3	Southampton	10	5	3	2	-1	+1.1	18
4	Blackburn	10	5	1	4	+4	+0.6	16
5	West Brom	10	4	3	3	+5	-1.4	15
6	Preston	11	4	3	4	-4	-4.8	15
7	Leeds	10	4	2	4	+2	+2.5	14
8	Swansea	11	4	2	5	+0	-6.3	14
9	Hull	10	4	2	4	-2	-1.2	14
10	Millwall	10	3	4	3	+2	-3.6	13
11	Sunderland	10	3	3	4	+2	+6.1	12
12	Bristol City	11	3	3	5	-3	-0.8	12
13	Cardiff	10	3	2	5	-1	-3.2	11
14	Middlesbrough	10	3	2	5	-2	+2.1	11
15	Norwich	10	3	2	5	-3	-4.7	11
16	QPR	11	3	2	6	-5	-6.2	11
17	Huddersfield	10	2	4	4	-7	-6.8	10
18	Watford	9	2	3	4	-6	-6.0	9
19	Coventry	10	2	2	6	-2	+1.7	8
20	Stoke	10	2	2	6	-6	-2.3	8
21	Birmingham	10	1	1	8	-12	-4.0	4
22	Sheffield Weds	10	1	1	8	-12	-6.0	4
23	Plymouth	10	0	3	7	-12	-6.8	3
24	Rotherham	10	0	2	8	-21	-15.5	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.