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Süper Lig
Referee: Abdulkadir Bitigen
Denizlispor
U U T T T
1–4
Full-time
Galatasaray
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Denizlispor Galatasaray
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,3
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,3
Scored
1,2
1,8
Conceded
2,2
0,5
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+1,3
This season — Süper Lig · 38/38 matches
Win Ø 40%
16%
63%
Points per game
0,7
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 49%
42%
55%
Both score Ø 50%
53%
47%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
0,9
1,9
Conceded
1,8
0,9
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+1,0
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

43% Possession 57%
7 Shots 19
3 Shots on target 10
2 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 6
0 Offside 3
12 Free kicks against 6
6 Yellow cards 0
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Denizlispor 21. · Galatasaray 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Besiktas 38 25 6 7 +45 81
2 Fenerbahce 38 24 7 7 +31 79
3 Galatasaray 38 24 6 8 +39 78
4 Trabzonspor 39 18 14 7 +12 68
5 Hatayspor 39 17 10 12 +10 61
6 Sivasspor 38 14 17 7 +9 59
7 Alanyaspor 38 16 9 13 +13 57
8 Gaziantep 38 14 13 11 +8 55
9 Karagumruk 38 14 12 12 +7 54
10 Goztep 38 13 12 13 +3 51
11 Konyaspor 39 12 13 14 +1 49
12 Yeni Malatyaspor 39 10 15 14 -2 45
13 Rizespor 38 11 12 15 -15 45
14 Buyuksehyr 38 11 11 16 -14 44
15 Kasimpasa 38 11 10 17 -11 43
16 Antalyaspor 39 9 16 14 -14 43
17 Kayserispor 38 9 13 16 -16 40
18 Ankaragücü 38 10 8 20 -16 38
19 Erzurumspor 39 9 10 20 -25 37
20 Genclerbirligi 38 9 8 21 -33 35
21 Denizlispor 38 6 10 22 -32 28

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Denizlispor Galatasaray
22′
H. Dervişoğlu 0–1
Gedson Fernandes
23′
ℹ️ Halil Dervişoğlu
VAR: Penalty confirmed
35′
R. Babel 0–2
41′
ℹ️ Halil Dervişoğlu
VAR: Goal cancelled
Sakıb Aytaç 🟨
42′
Hugo Rodallega 🟨
43′
Radosław Murawski 🟨
45′
Half-time 0–2
E. Kaşcıoğlu 🔁
↦ V. Tusha
46′
57′
🔁 Mostafa Mohamed
↦ E. Akbaba
57′
🔁 K. Aktürkoğlu
↦ A. Turan
58′
🔁 H. Onyekuru
↦ R. Babel
M. Dossevi 🔁
↦ A. Kol
61′
1–2 R. Niyaz
M. Dossevi
62′
70′
🔁 E. Kılınç
↦ H. Dervişoğlu
G. Can 🔁
↦ S. Aytaç
75′
Ö. Çek 🔁
↦ M. Özkal
76′
M. Mešanović 🔁
↦ R. Niyaz
76′
81′
🔁 Ö. Bayram
↦ T. Antalyalı
Emirhan Kascioglu 🟨
82′
84′
ℹ️ Mostafa Mohamed
VAR: Goal cancelled
Hugo Rodallega 🟨
85′
Muris Mešanovič 🟨
85′
Hugo Rodallega 🟥
85′
86′
Mostafa Mohamed 1–3
88′
Mostafa Mohamed 1–4
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Denizlispor

5-4-1
99 A. Sünger G
23 S. Aytaç D
91 Fabiano D
3 M. Özkal D
42 M. Diskerud M
20 R. Niyaz M
70 H. Ayaroğlu D
8 R. Murawski M
7 H. Rodallega F
61 A. Kol D
25 V. Tusha M
Bench (8)
77 E. Kaşcıoğlu
14 M. Dossevi
26 G. Can
60 Ö. Çek
11 M. Mešanović
1 H. Altıntaş
33 F. Erdoğan
35 M. Ulaman

Coach: A. Tandoğan

Galatasaray

4-1-4-1
1 F. Muslera G
22 D. Yedlin D
45 Marcão Teixeira D
36 M. Saracchi D
15 R. Donk D
66 A. Turan M
4 T. Antalyalı M
20 E. Akbaba M
83 Gedson Fernandes M
8 R. Babel M
11 H. Dervişoğlu F
Bench (10)
31 Mostafa Mohamed
18 K. Aktürkoğlu
7 H. Onyekuru
54 E. Kılınç
19 Ö. Bayram
27 C. Luyindama
14 M. Linnes
89 S. Feghouli
2 Ş. Özbayraklı
34 O. Kocuk

Coach: F. Terim

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
12,61
U
6,86
B ✓
1,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,42
U2,5
2,80
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Abdulkadir Bitigen · 18 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.