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Bundesliga

Referee: M Hameter

Ried

S T S T T

2–1

Full-time

Wolfsberger AC

T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ried Wolfsberger AC

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

1,8

2,0

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,0

0,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Bundesliga · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 36%

38%

34%

Points per game

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

44%

56%

Both score Ø 53%

50%

56%

Average goals

2,5

2,6

Scored

1,2

1,3

Conceded

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,0

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

1,44 xG 0,27

63% Possession 37%

17 Shots 7

5 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

3 Corners 3

8 Offside 2

5 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ried 8. · Wolfsberger AC 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	LASK	32	17	7	8	+14	+14.1	58
2	Sturm Graz	32	16	8	8	+16	+11.2	56
3	Salzburg	32	13	9	10	+15	+11.0	48
4	Austria Vienna	32	14	5	13	-5	-1.3	47
5	SK Rapid	32	12	8	12	-5	-4.2	44
6	Hartberg	32	10	12	10	+0	-14.9	42
7	Altach	32	10	12	10	-3	-4.1	42
8	Ried	32	12	6	14	-4	-3.3	42
9	Wolfsberger AC	32	11	8	13	-1	-11.4	41
10	Tirol	32	10	10	12	-12	+0.1	40
11	Grazer AK	32	9	10	13	-3	+0.3	37
12	BW Linz	32	8	5	19	-12	+2.5	29

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	LASK	16	10	3	3	+9	+10.2	33
2	Altach	16	8	6	2	+6	+3.6	30
3	Ried	16	8	3	5	+3	+1.9	27
4	Tirol	16	7	5	4	+3	+3.6	26
5	Grazer AK	16	6	7	3	+6	+3.1	25
6	Wolfsberger AC	16	6	6	4	+5	-2.6	24
7	Sturm Graz	16	6	5	5	+0	+6.4	23
8	SK Rapid	16	7	2	7	-1	-0.4	23
9	Salzburg	16	6	4	6	+6	+5.8	22
10	BW Linz	16	7	1	8	+5	+6.3	22
11	Austria Vienna	16	6	3	7	-8	+0.2	21
12	Hartberg	16	4	5	7	-6	-5.1	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Sturm Graz	16	10	3	3	+16	+4.8	33
2	Salzburg	16	7	5	4	+9	+5.2	26
3	Austria Vienna	16	8	2	6	+3	-1.5	26
4	Hartberg	16	6	7	3	+6	-9.7	25
5	LASK	16	7	4	5	+5	+3.9	25
6	SK Rapid	16	5	6	5	-4	-3.8	21
7	Wolfsberger AC	16	5	2	9	-6	-8.8	17
8	Ried	16	4	3	9	-7	-5.2	15
9	Tirol	16	3	5	8	-15	-3.5	14
10	Grazer AK	16	3	3	10	-9	-2.9	12
11	Altach	16	2	6	8	-9	-7.7	12
12	BW Linz	16	1	4	11	-17	-3.8	7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.