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Championship
Referee: R Madley
Charlton
T T U T U
1–2
Full-time
Ipswich
U S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charlton Ipswich
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,2
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Championship · 43/42 matches
Win Ø 39%
28%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 43%
35%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
51%
57%
Average goals
2,1
2,8
Scored
0,9
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

0,33 xG 1,87
36% Possession 64%
6 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
1 Corners 4
1 Offside 0
18 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charlton 20. · Ipswich 2.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Coventry 44 26 11 7 +46 +35.5 89
2 Ipswich 42 21 13 8 +29 +28.1 76
3 Millwall 42 22 10 10 +13 +6.7 76
4 Southampton 42 21 12 9 +28 +21.1 75
5 Wrexham 44 19 13 12 +6 -5.8 70
6 Hull 41 19 10 12 +7 -22.6 67
7 Middlesbrough 40 18 12 10 +13 +23.9 66
8 Derby 44 19 9 16 +8 +2.0 66
9 Norwich 44 19 7 18 +8 -2.9 64
10 Swansea 44 17 9 18 -4 -5.3 60
11 Bristol City 44 16 11 17 -1 -8.0 59
12 QPR 44 16 10 18 -8 -2.5 58
13 Sheffield United 43 17 6 20 +2 +14.1 57
14 Birmingham 43 15 12 16 -1 +13.2 57
15 Watford 44 14 15 15 -4 +3.1 57
16 Preston 43 14 15 14 -5 -16.1 57
17 Stoke 44 15 10 19 -1 -11.6 55
18 West Brom 44 13 13 18 -9 +10.4 52
19 Portsmouth 44 13 12 19 -17 -3.3 51
20 Charlton 43 12 14 17 -12 -14.6 50
21 Blackburn 44 12 13 19 -15 +1.2 49
22 Leicester 44 11 15 18 -11 -10.8 48
23 Oxford 44 10 14 20 -15 -7.3 44
24 Sheffield Weds 43 1 12 30 -57 -48.2 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charlton Ipswich
1–0 G. Docherty
1′
L. Chambers 🔁
↦ A. Bell
18′
36′
D. Furlong 1–1
A. Matusiwa
Macaulay Gillesphey 🟨
37′
Half-time 1–1
L. Dykes 🔁
↦ T. Campbell
46′
58′
J. Philogene 1–2
S. Carey 🔁
↦ C. Kelman
59′
Lyndon Dykes 🟨
61′
65′
🟨 Jack Taylor
70′
🔁 J. Clarke
↦ J. Philogene
70′
🔁 D. Neil
↦ J. Taylor
77′
🔁 M. Nunez
↦ A. Mehmeti
H. Knibbs 🔁
↦ J. Rankin-Costello
78′
M. Godden 🔁
78′
78′
🔁 G. Hirst
↦ I. Azon
86′
🔁 C. Kipre
↦ K. McAteer
98′
🟨 Jack Clarke
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Charlton

3-5-2
1 T. Kaminski G
28 C. Sichenje D
5 L. Jones D
3 M. Gillesphey D
77 J. Fevrier M
26 J. Rankin-Costello M
6 C. Coventry M
10 G. Docherty M
17 A. Bell M
23 C. Kelman F
7 T. Campbell
Bench (9)
25 W. Mannion
8 L. Berry
99 L. Dykes
41 H. Knibbs
14 S. Carey
15 C. Coady
24 M. Godden
32 R. Burke
19 L. Chambers

Coach: Nathan Jones

Ipswich

4-2-3-1
28 C. Walton G
19 D. Furlong D
26 D. O'Shea D
24 J. Greaves D
18 B. Johnson D
5 A. Matusiwa M
14 J. Taylor M
20 K. McAteer M
33 A. Mehmeti M
11 J. Philogene M
31 I. Azon F
Bench (9)
1 A. Palmer
12 J. Cajuste
4 C. Kipre
47 J. Clarke
32 M. Nunez
8 S. W. Egeli
29 C. Akpom
9 G. Hirst
6 D. Neil

Coach: Kieran McKenna

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
4,74
U
3,61
B ✓
1,73
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,92
U2,5
1,81
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

R Madley · 66 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.