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Bundesliga

Referee: A Heiß

LASK

S T U T T

4–0

Full-time

Sturm Graz

T T T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

LASK Sturm Graz

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,5

3,3

Scored

1,8

0,8

Conceded

1,7

2,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

-1,7

This season — Bundesliga · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 52%

65%

38%

Points per game

2,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

58%

Both score Ø 52%

50%

54%

Average goals

3,2

3,1

Scored

2,1

1,6

Conceded

1,1

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

51% Possession 49%

17 Shots 4

8 Shots on target 1

4 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

19 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match LASK 2. · Sturm Graz 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	27	18	7	2	+62	61
2	LASK	26	17	4	5	+26	55
3	SK Rapid	27	15	7	5	+26	52
4	Wolfsberger AC	27	12	7	8	+21	43
5	Sturm Graz	26	10	5	11	+1	35
6	Austria Vienna	27	8	11	8	+0	35
7	Hartberg	27	10	5	12	-19	35
8	Altach	27	9	6	12	-6	33
9	Tirol	27	6	6	15	-27	24
10	St. Polten	27	5	9	13	-32	24
11	Admira	27	5	8	14	-24	23
12	Mattersburg	27	6	5	16	-28	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salzburg	13	11	1	1	+35	34
2	SK Rapid	13	6	4	3	+11	22
3	Austria Vienna	14	6	4	4	+3	22
4	LASK	13	6	3	4	+10	21
5	Wolfsberger AC	14	5	5	4	+10	20
6	Altach	13	5	3	5	+1	18
7	Hartberg	14	5	3	6	-6	18
8	Sturm Graz	13	4	2	7	-4	14
9	St. Polten	14	2	5	7	-20	11
10	Admira	14	2	4	8	-13	10
11	Tirol	13	2	3	8	-20	9
12	Mattersburg	13	1	3	9	-18	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	LASK	13	11	1	1	+16	34
2	SK Rapid	14	9	3	2	+15	30
3	Salzburg	14	7	6	1	+27	27
4	Wolfsberger AC	13	7	2	4	+11	23
5	Sturm Graz	13	6	3	4	+5	21
6	Mattersburg	14	5	2	7	-10	17
7	Hartberg	13	5	2	6	-13	17
8	Tirol	14	4	3	7	-7	15
9	Altach	14	4	3	7	-7	15
10	Austria Vienna	13	2	7	4	-3	13
11	Admira	13	3	4	6	-11	13
12	St. Polten	13	3	4	6	-12	13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.