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Primeira Liga
Referee: Luis Godinho
Rio Ave
S U U T S
1–2
Full-time
Benfica
U U U U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Rio Ave Benfica
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,2
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,2
This season — Primeira Liga · 27/28 matches
Win Ø 58%
44%
71%
Points per game
1,6
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 37%
30%
43%
Both score Ø 40%
44%
36%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
1,3
2,0
Conceded
1,0
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
5 Shots 16
1 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 4
2 Goalkeeper saves 0
4 Corners 10
0 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 21
3 Yellow cards 2
3 Red cards 0
The table before the match Rio Ave 6. · Benfica 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Porto 29 22 4 3 +42 70
2 Benfica 28 20 5 3 +39 65
3 Sp Braga 28 15 4 9 +14 49
4 Sp Lisbon 27 15 4 8 +14 49
5 Famalicao 27 13 7 7 +4 46
6 Rio Ave 27 12 8 7 +10 44
7 Guimaraes 27 10 10 7 +15 40
8 Santa Clara 29 9 10 10 -6 37
9 Moreirense 28 8 11 9 +2 35
10 Gil Vicente 29 8 10 11 -7 34
11 Boavista 27 8 8 11 -5 32
12 Maritimo 29 6 12 11 -10 30
13 Setubal 26 6 12 8 -10 30
14 Vitoria Setubal 26 6 12 8 -10 30
15 Tondela 28 7 9 12 -11 30
16 Belenenses 28 8 6 14 -19 30
17 Pacos Ferreira 28 8 4 16 -16 28
18 Portimonense 29 3 14 12 -17 23
19 Aves 28 4 2 22 -29 14

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Rio Ave Benfica
A. Elmusrati 🟨
13′
1–0 M. Taremi
26′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 H. Seferović
↦ Dyego Sousa
48′
🟨 Pizzi
A. Elmusrati 🟨
62′
A. Elmusrati 🟥
62′
62′
🔁 Carlos Vinícius
↦ A. Taarabt
64′
H. Seferović 1–1
Nuno Tavares
Tarantini 🔁
↦ Diego Lopes
66′
N. Santos 🟥
72′
74′
🟨 R. Dias
D. Figueiras 🟨
80′
80′
🔁 Chiquinho
↦ Gabriel
Nélson Monte 🔁
↦ Diogo Figueiras
83′
87′
J. Weigl 1–2
Pizzi
Carlos Mané 🔁
↦ Lucas Piazón
90′
Bruno Moreira 🔁
↦ M. Taremi
90′
Figueiras D. 🟥
92′
92′
🔁 Jota
↦ Pizzi
92′
🔁 A. Samaris
↦ Rafa Silva
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Rio Ave

4-2-3-1
1 P. Kieszek G
15 Aderllan Santos D
7 Diogo Figueiras D
2 Matheus Reis D
6 T. Borevković D
5 Filipe Augusto M
10 Diego Lopes M
18 Al Musrati M
99 M. Taremi F
14 Lucas Piazón M
11 Nuno Santos M
Bench (9)
8 Tarantini
4 Nélson Monte
21 Carlos Mané
9 Bruno Moreira
57 Gelson Dala
12 Júnio Rocha
24 Pedro Amaral
33 Messias
88 Paulo Vítor

Coach: Carlos Carvalhal

Benfica

4-4-2
99 O. Vlachodimos G
6 Rúben Dias D
97 Ferro D
71 Nuno Tavares D
84 Tomás Tavares D
49 A. Taarabt F
21 Pizzi M
8 Gabriel M
27 Rafa Silva M
28 J. Weigl M
20 Dyego Sousa F
Bench (9)
14 H. Seferović
95 Carlos Vinícius
19 Chiquinho
73 Jota
22 A. Samaris
11 F. Cervi
61 Florentino Luís
72 I. Zlobin
17 A. Živković

Coach: Bruno Lage

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,39
U
3,76
B ✓
1,62
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,83
U2,5
1,96
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Luis Godinho · 162 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
28,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,28 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.