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Premiership
Referee: D Robertson
St Mirren
T S U T S
1–0
Full-time
Livingston
S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

St Mirren Livingston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,2
Scored
0,8
0,8
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
6 Shots 12
2 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 5
2 Offside 1
16 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0

Match report

St Mirren Livingston
Conor McCarthy 🟨
13′
1–0 R. Tait
J. McGrath
30′
Half-time 1–0
J. Morias 🔁
↦ K. McAllister
61′
61′
🔁 S. Kouider-Aïssa
↦ A. Forrest
68′
🔁 S. Robinson
↦ C. Sibbald
I. Thorvaldsson 🔁
↦ Í. Durmuş
77′
Cameron MacPherson 🟨
79′
83′
🔁 A. Souda
↦ A. Taylor-Sinclair
84′
🟨 Salim Kouider-Aissa
Richard Tait 🟨
90′
90′
🟨 Efe Eric Ambrose
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

St Mirren

4-2-3-1
1 J. Alnwick G
2 R. Tait D
4 J. Shaughnessy D
22 M. Fraser D
5 C. McCarthy D
16 S. Foley M
11 Í. Durmuş M
17 J. McGrath M
10 K. McAllister M
14 C. MacPherson M
9 J. Obika F
Bench (9)
19 J. Morias
23 I. Thorvaldsson
25 E. Erhahon
15 J. Baird
26 D. Lyness
35 J. Jack
27 P. Urminský
30 J. Henderson
33 L. Jamieson

Coach: J. Goodwin

Livingston

3-4-2-1
1 R. McCrorie G
25 E. Ambrose M
29 A. Taylor-Sinclair D
2 N. Devlin M
27 J. Guthrie D
5 J. Fitzwater D
6 M. Bartley M
10 C. Sibbald M
11 A. Forrest F
8 S. Pittman F
9 L. Dykes F
Bench (9)
19 S. Kouider-Aïssa
17 S. Robinson
20 A. Souda
32 M. Stryjek
21 J. McMillan
22 S. Tiffoney
16 R. Crawford
38 J. Hamilton
39 C. Pignatiello

Coach: G. Holt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,89
U
3,19
B
2,45
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,21
U2,5 ✓
1,65
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

D Robertson · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.