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Super League
Referee: A Treimanis
Olympiakos
T S T S U
1–2
Full-time
PAOK
U S U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Olympiakos PAOK
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
1,3
Scored
1,0
0,7
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,0
This season — Super League · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
50%
38%
Points per game
1,8
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 38%
50%
25%
Both score Ø 57%
63%
50%
Average goals
2,4
1,5
Scored
1,5
0,9
Conceded
0,9
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,6
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

58% Possession 42%
17 Shots 7
3 Shots on target 1
4 Blocked shots 4
0 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 4
8 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 14
0 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Olympiakos 4. · PAOK 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Panathinaikos 8 8 0 0 +12 24
2 AEK 9 7 0 2 +13 21
3 Volos NFC 9 6 2 1 +8 20
4 Olympiakos 8 4 2 2 +5 14
5 Panetolikos 9 4 2 3 +4 14
6 PAOK 8 3 4 1 +2 13
7 Aris Thessalonikis 8 4 1 3 +1 13
8 Aris 8 4 1 3 +1 13
9 Atromitos 8 3 2 3 +2 11
10 Asteras Tripolis 9 1 5 3 -3 8
11 Lamia 8 1 4 3 -5 7
12 OFI Crete 8 1 2 5 -7 5
13 Giannina 8 1 2 5 -10 5
14 Levadeiakos 9 0 3 6 -10 3
15 Ionikos 9 0 2 7 -13 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Olympiakos PAOK
9′
S. Papastathopoulos 1–0
own goal
2–0 J. Rodríguez
O. Reabciuk
37′
39′
🟨 Omar El Kaddouri
Half-time 2–0
54′
🟨 Douglas Augusto
56′
K. Narey 2–1
L. Lyratzis
63′
ℹ️ Jasmin Kurtić
VAR: Penalty cancelled
G. Masouras 🔁
↦ A. Camara
66′
70′
🔁 Joan Sastre
↦ M. Tsaousis
M. Valbuena 🔁
↦ J. Rodríguez
71′
Y. El-Arabi 🔁
↦ Garry Rodrigues
71′
Hwang Ui-Jo 🔁
↦ O. Ba
84′
85′
🔁 Filipe Soares
↦ Douglas Augusto
90′
🟨 Tiago Dantas
91′
🟨 Dominik Kotarski
91′
🔁 S. Schwab
↦ Tiago Dantas
96′
🟨 Stefan Schwab
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Olympiakos

4-3-3
88 K. Tzolakis G
17 M. Vrousai D
15 S. Papastathopoulos D
24 O. Ba D
45 O. Reabciuk D
22 A. Camara M
6 Y. M'Vila M
33 Hwang In-Beom M
10 J. Rodríguez F
94 C. Bakambu F
77 Garry Rodrigues F
Bench (9)
19 G. Masouras
28 M. Valbuena
11 Y. El-Arabi
18 Hwang Ui-Jo
91 A. Paschalakis
5 A. Bouchalakis
38 D. Samassékou
74 A. Ntoi
4 P. Retsos

Coach: Míchel

PAOK

4-2-3-1
42 D. Kotarski G
19 L. Lyratzis D
4 S. Ingason D
59 K. Koulierakis D
24 M. Tsaousis D
26 Tiago Dantas M
27 J. Kurtič M
77 K. Narey M
8 Douglas Augusto M
7 O. El Kaddouri M
9 Nélson Oliveira F
Bench (9)
23 Joan Sastre
50 Filipe Soares
22 S. Schwab
18 Ž. Živković
46 V. Gordeziani
21 D. Biseswar
65 I. Konstantelias
30 N. Quagliata
3 I. Näsberg

Coach: R. Lucescu

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,75
U
3,45
B ✓
4,76
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,22
U2,5
1,63
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Treimanis · 28 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.