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Süper Lig

Referee: Mete Kalkavan

Fenerbahce

U S S S U

3–1

Full-time

Erzurumspor

T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fenerbahce Erzurumspor

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,3

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

2,5

3,7

Scored

1,7

1,8

Conceded

0,8

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,0

This season — Süper Lig · 36/37 matches

Win Ø 43%

61%

24%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

61%

57%

Both score Ø 60%

58%

62%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,8

1,1

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

60% Possession 40%

28 Shots 11

10 Shots on target 2

8 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 7

10 Corners 5

2 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 12

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Fenerbahce 3. · Erzurumspor 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	37	25	6	6	+47	81
2	Galatasaray	37	23	6	8	+37	75
3	Fenerbahce	36	22	7	7	+28	73
4	Trabzonspor	37	17	13	7	+11	64
5	Alanyaspor	38	16	9	13	+13	57
6	Hatayspor	37	16	9	12	+9	57
7	Sivasspor	36	13	16	7	+8	55
8	Gaziantep	36	14	12	10	+9	54
9	Goztep	37	13	12	12	+4	51
10	Karagumruk	37	13	12	12	+3	51
11	Konyaspor	37	11	12	14	+0	45
12	Rizespor	37	11	12	14	-11	45
13	Antalyaspor	38	9	16	13	-13	43
14	Buyuksehyr	37	11	10	16	-14	43
15	Yeni Malatyaspor	37	9	14	14	-6	41
16	Kasimpasa	37	10	10	17	-12	40
17	Kayserispor	37	9	12	16	-16	39
18	Ankaragücü	37	10	8	19	-15	38
19	Erzurumspor	37	9	10	18	-22	37
20	Genclerbirligi	37	9	8	20	-29	35
21	Denizlispor	37	6	10	21	-31	28

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Besiktas	19	14	3	2	+36	45
2	Alanyaspor	19	12	4	3	+22	40
3	Galatasaray	18	10	6	2	+24	36
4	Gaziantep	18	10	6	2	+15	36
5	Karagumruk	18	10	4	4	+14	34
6	Fenerbahce	18	10	2	6	+8	32
7	Hatayspor	18	9	4	5	+12	31
8	Trabzonspor	18	9	3	6	+4	30
9	Goztep	18	8	5	5	+10	29
10	Konyaspor	19	7	8	4	+8	29
11	Yeni Malatyaspor	19	7	7	5	+4	28
12	Rizespor	18	7	7	4	+3	28
13	Kasimpasa	19	8	4	7	-1	28
14	Ankaragücü	18	8	3	7	+3	27
15	Sivasspor	18	6	8	4	+3	26
16	Antalyaspor	19	6	6	7	-4	24
17	Buyuksehyr	19	5	7	7	-2	22
18	Kayserispor	18	5	6	7	-4	21
19	Genclerbirligi	19	5	5	9	-10	20
20	Denizlispor	19	4	6	9	-7	18
21	Erzurumspor	19	2	8	9	-11	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	18	12	5	1	+20	41
2	Galatasaray	19	13	0	6	+13	39
3	Besiktas	18	11	3	4	+11	36
4	Trabzonspor	19	8	10	1	+7	34
5	Sivasspor	18	7	8	3	+5	29
6	Hatayspor	19	7	5	7	-3	26
7	Erzurumspor	18	7	2	9	-11	23
8	Goztep	19	5	7	7	-6	22
9	Buyuksehyr	18	6	3	9	-12	21
10	Antalyaspor	19	3	10	6	-9	19
11	Gaziantep	18	4	6	8	-6	18
12	Kayserispor	19	4	6	9	-12	18
13	Alanyaspor	19	4	5	10	-9	17
14	Karagumruk	19	3	8	8	-11	17
15	Rizespor	19	4	5	10	-14	17
16	Konyaspor	18	4	4	10	-8	16
17	Genclerbirligi	18	4	3	11	-19	15
18	Yeni Malatyaspor	18	2	7	9	-10	13
19	Kasimpasa	18	2	6	10	-11	12
20	Ankaragücü	19	2	5	12	-18	11
21	Denizlispor	18	2	4	12	-24	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.