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Süper Lig
Referee: A Karaoglan
Gaziantep
U S T U T
3–0
Full-time
Kayserispor
T T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Gaziantep Kayserispor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
1,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,3
Scored
1,3
0,5
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Süper Lig · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 21%
28%
14%
Points per game
1,2
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
66%
48%
Both score Ø 57%
66%
48%
Average goals
3,0
2,6
Scored
1,3
0,7
Conceded
1,7
1,9
Goal diff per game
-0,4
-1,1
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

2,38 xG 0,84
55% Possession 45%
20 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 7
4 Blocked shots 3
7 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 3
1 Offside 1
10 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Gaziantep 11. · Kayserispor 17.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Galatasaray 30 22 5 3 +46 +31.1 71
2 Fenerbahce 30 19 10 1 +38 +31.9 67
3 Trabzonspor 30 19 8 3 +25 +8.8 65
4 Besiktas 30 16 7 7 +18 +24.9 55
5 Buyuksehyr 30 13 9 8 +17 +5.5 48
6 Goztep 30 12 12 6 +10 +6.9 48
7 Samsunspor 30 10 12 8 -3 +5.9 42
8 Rizespor 30 9 10 11 -1 -0.0 37
9 Konyaspor 30 9 10 11 -3 -0.8 37
10 Kocaelispor 30 9 9 12 -9 -1.6 36
11 Gaziantep 29 8 10 11 -11 -4.6 34
12 Alanyaspor 30 6 15 9 +0 -9.0 33
13 Kasimpasa 30 7 10 13 -12 -12.6 31
14 Antalyaspor 30 7 7 16 -19 -22.3 28
15 Genclerbirligi 30 6 7 17 -15 -18.9 25
16 Eyüpspor 30 6 7 17 -22 -19.3 25
17 Kayserispor 29 4 11 14 -33 -13.1 23
18 Karagumruk 30 5 5 20 -26 -12.8 20

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gaziantep Kayserispor
Victor Ntino-Emo Gidado 🟨
17′
1–0 M. Bayo
K. Kozlowski
25′
34′
🔁 R. Civelek
↦ J. Brenet
42′
🟨 Laszlo Benes
1–1 Y. Ait Bennasser
own goal
45′
Half-time 1–1
46′
🔁 B. Kapacak
46′
🔁 D. Makarov
↦ F. Soyalp
46′
🔁 G. Onugkha
↦ S. Mather
Kacper Kozłowski 🟨
51′
D. Dragus 🔁
↦ M. Bayo
68′
O. Ozcicek 🔁
↦ D. Camara
68′
74′
🔁 D. Tokoz
↦ Y. Ait Bennasser
78′
🟨 Burak Kapacak
2–1 D. Sorescu
80′
L. Perez 🔁
↦ D. Sorescu
86′
K. Gassama 🔁
↦ V. Gidado
86′
N. Sangare 🔁
↦ A. Maxim
90′
91′
🟨 Dorukhan Toköz
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Gaziantep

4-3-3
20 Z. Gorgen G
18 D. Sorescu D
4 A. Kizildag D
14 M. Abena D
77 K. Rodrigues D
44 A. Maxim M
8 V. Gidado
3 D. Camara M
10 K. Kozlowski F
9 M. Bayo F
11 C. Lungoyi F
Bench (9)
71 M. Bozan
81 C. Aslan
30 N. Sangare
70 D. Dragus
2 L. Perez
23 T. T. Sanuc
5 N. Mujakic
61 O. Ozcicek
17 K. Gassama

Coach: Mirel Radoi

Kayserispor

4-3-3
25 B. Bayazit G
2 J. Katongo D
6 S. Guler D
4 S. Denswil D
30 J. Brenet D
33 F. Soyalp M
15 Y. Ait Bennasser M
8 L. Benes M
11 S. Mather F
63 F. Chalov F
7 M. Cardoso F
Bench (10)
1 O. Piri
20 C. Mane
61 G. Saglam
24 D. Tokoz
17 B. Kapacak
18 D. Makarov
9 G. Onugkha
22 I. Tuci
28 R. Civelek
10 J. Mendes

Coach: Erling Moe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,11
U
3,39
B
3,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,74
U2,5
1,99
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

A Karaoglan · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
26,3 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.