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LaLiga2
Referee: A Moreno
La Coruna
S U S U U
3–1
Full-time
Mirandes
S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

La Coruna Mirandes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 83%
83%
83%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — LaLiga2 · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 36%
49%
23%
Points per game
1,7
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
49%
54%
Both score Ø 60%
57%
63%
Average goals
2,6
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,4
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

52% Possession 48%
12 Shots 12
4 Shots on target 6
3 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 5
4 Offside 0
22 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match La Coruna 4. · Mirandes 20.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Santander 36 21 5 10 +20 -1.1 68
2 Almeria 36 19 7 10 +16 +1.6 64
3 Castellon 36 17 10 9 +17 +6.0 61
4 La Coruna 35 17 10 8 +15 +2.4 61
5 Las Palmas 36 16 12 8 +17 +2.4 60
6 Malaga 36 17 9 10 +16 +6.3 60
7 Burgos 36 17 9 10 +11 +4.1 60
8 Eibar 36 16 10 10 +10 +7.4 58
9 Andorra 36 14 10 12 +5 +2.0 52
10 Sp Gijon 36 15 7 14 +4 +2.5 52
11 Cordoba 36 14 9 13 -4 +3.8 51
12 Ceuta 36 14 8 14 -13 -14.8 50
13 Albacete 36 12 11 13 +0 +1.1 47
14 Granada 36 11 12 13 +0 +0.7 45
15 Leganes 36 10 12 14 +0 +3.1 42
16 Sociedad B 36 11 8 17 -7 -9.3 41
17 Valladolid 36 10 10 16 -9 +2.2 40
18 Cadiz 36 10 8 18 -18 -7.4 38
19 Zaragoza 36 8 11 17 -16 +2.9 35
20 Mirandes 35 8 9 18 -19 -6.1 33
21 Huesca 36 8 9 19 -19 -0.4 33
22 Cultural Leonesa 36 8 8 20 -26 -9.2 32

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

La Coruna Mirandes
-5′
🟨 Nikola Maraš
Álvaro Fernández 🟨
40′
42′
C. Fernandez 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Lucas Noubi 🟨
46′
48′
🟨 Javier Hernández
1–1 M. Soriano
A. Altimira
51′
Adrià Altimira ℹ️
VAR: Penalty confirmed
56′
2–1 Y. Hernandez
58′
64′
🟨 Hugo Novoa
3–1 B. Nsongo
Y. Hernandez
71′
Stoichkov 🔁
↦ Y. Hernandez
75′
75′
🔁 A. Houary
↦ T. Helguera
D. Villares 🔁
↦ Cruz Luismi
76′
83′
🔁 P. Perez
↦ S. El Jebari
J. Jurado 🔁
↦ R. Rodriguez
84′
Z. Eddahchouri 🔁
↦ B. Nsongo
84′
84′
🔁 S. Balde
↦ C. Fernandez
C. Herrera 🔁
↦ M. Soriano
88′
88′
🔁 A. Martin Luis
↦ R. Bauza
95′
Javier Hernández
penalty missed
98′
🟨 Siren Diao
Full-time 3–1

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,49
U
3,85
B
6,10
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,91
U2,5
1,81
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

A Moreno · 10 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,1 / match
Average

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.