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Süper Lig
Referee: Ç Altay
Ankaragücü
T U S T S
1–2
Full-time
Ad. Demirspor
S S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ankaragücü Ad. Demirspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
33%
67%
Points per game
1,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,2
5,2
Scored
0,8
2,8
Conceded
1,3
2,3
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+0,5
This season — Süper Lig · 35/35 matches
Win Ø 44%
34%
54%
Points per game
1,2
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
54%
63%
Both score Ø 62%
60%
63%
Average goals
2,7
3,4
Scored
1,2
2,1
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,9
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

51% Possession 49%
16 Shots 11
7 Shots on target 5
4 Blocked shots 3
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
7 Corners 1
5 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 9
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ankaragücü 11. · Ad. Demirspor 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Galatasaray 36 28 4 4 +56 88
2 Fenerbahce 36 25 5 6 +45 80
3 Besiktas 35 23 8 4 +42 77
4 Ad. Demirspor 35 19 9 7 +30 66
5 Buyuksehyr 36 18 8 10 +17 62
6 Trabzonspor 36 17 6 13 +10 57
7 Karagumruk 36 13 12 11 +12 51
8 Konyaspor 35 12 14 9 +8 50
9 Kayserispor 36 15 5 16 -6 50
10 Kasimpasa 36 12 7 17 -16 43
11 Ankaragücü 35 12 6 17 -9 42
12 Sivasspor 36 11 8 17 -8 41
13 Antalyaspor 36 11 8 17 -9 41
14 Alanyaspor 36 11 8 17 -16 41
15 İstanbulspor 36 12 5 19 -16 41
16 Giresunspor 36 10 10 16 -18 40
17 Ümraniyespor 37 8 9 20 -14 33
18 Gaziantep 37 6 7 24 -44 25
19 Hatayspor 36 6 5 25 -64 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ankaragücü Ad. Demirspor
31′
Y. Belhanda 0–1
G. İnler
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 S. Güler
↦ İ. Çokçalış
46′
🔁 J. Morel
↦ S. Nongoh
57′
E. Akbaba 0–2
Kévin Rodrigues
M. Hanousek 🔁
↦ G. Beridze
62′
Milson 🔁
↦ T. Chatzigiovanis
63′
67′
🔁 S. Kavrazlı
↦ E. Akbaba
A. Ünyay 🔁
↦ U. Radaković
70′
75′
🔁 Y. Sarı
↦ Kévin Rodrigues
1–2 Milson
S. Kitsiou
82′
84′
🔁 H. Jaganjac
↦ Y. Erdoğan
İ. Çiçek 🔁
↦ H. Kaldırım
86′
M. Can 🔁
↦ K. Malcuit
87′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Ankaragücü

3-4-2-1
25 D. Kaya G
24 K. Malcuit D
26 U. Radaković D
37 A. Kızıldağ D
88 F. Üzüm M
17 S. Kitsiou M
16 A. Đokanović M
33 H. Kaldırım M
21 G. Beridze F
7 T. Chatzigiovanis F
77 G. Töre F
Bench (9)
5 M. Hanousek
70 Milson
27 A. Ünyay
20 İ. Çiçek
23 M. Can
14 L. Diack
99 B. Güngördü
80 S. İmdat
98 K. Çinkaya

Coach: T. Kafkas

Ad. Demirspor

4-4-2
39 V. Karakuş G
16 İ. Çokçalış D
45 M. Çetin D
15 J. Manev D
3 A. Dursun D
46 S. Nongoh M
88 G. İnler M
77 Kévin Rodrigues M
32 Y. Erdoğan M
20 E. Akbaba F
10 Y. Belhanda F
Bench (10)
4 S. Güler
5 J. Morel
28 S. Kavrazlı
26 Y. Sarı
94 H. Jaganjac
6 M. Kapı
11 D. Akintola
96 H. Boyacı
18 G. Karačić
90 B. Stambouli

Coach: V. Montella

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,21
U
3,95
B ✓
2,79
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,36
U2,5
3,03
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ç Altay · 47 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.