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NM-cupen
Referee: J Tennøy
Kristiansund
U S U S T
0–1
Full-time
Molde
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kristiansund Molde
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
50%
83%
Points per game
1,8
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,8
5,2
Scored
1,7
3,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+2,5
This season — NM-cupen · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
2,0
5,0
Scored
2,0
5,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+5,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Kristiansund 21. · Molde 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Raufoss 3 3 0 0 +8 9
2 Sarpsborg 08 3 3 0 0 +6 9
3 KFUM Oslo 3 3 0 0 +6 9
4 Bodo/Glimt 3 3 0 0 +6 9
5 Sogndal 3 3 0 0 +5 9
6 Stromsgodset 3 3 0 0 +5 9
7 Stjørdals-Blink 3 3 0 0 +4 9
8 Brattvåg 3 3 0 0 +3 9
9 Brann 3 2 1 0 +12 7
10 Aalesund 3 2 1 0 +9 7
11 Tromso 3 2 1 0 +9 7
12 Gjøvik-Lyn 3 2 1 0 +5 7
13 Kjelsås 3 2 1 0 +3 7
14 Ham-Kam 2 2 0 0 +13 6
15 Molde 2 2 0 0 +10 6
16 Odd 3 2 0 1 +7 6
17 Alta 3 2 0 1 +7 6
18 Viking 2 2 0 0 +7 6
19 Bærum 2 2 0 0 +5 6
20 Start 3 2 0 1 +4 6
21 Kristiansund 2 2 0 0 +4 6
22 Fredrikstad 2 2 0 0 +4 6
23 Ranheim 3 2 0 1 +3 6
24 Jerv 3 2 0 1 +3 6
25 Sotra 2 2 0 0 +3 6
26 Mjondalen 3 2 0 1 +2 6
27 Haugesund 3 2 0 1 +2 6
28 Valerenga 2 2 0 0 +2 6
29 Vard 3 2 0 1 +1 6
30 Moss 3 2 0 1 +1 6
31 Asane 3 2 0 1 +0 6
32 Kongsvinger 2 1 1 0 +2 4
33 Tromsdalen Uil 2 1 1 0 +1 4
34 Ull/Kisa 3 1 1 1 +0 4
35 Arendal 2 1 0 1 +7 3
36 Sandnes ULF 2 1 0 1 +4 3
37 Junkeren 2 1 0 1 +4 3
38 hodd 2 1 0 1 +4 3
39 Lillestrom 2 1 0 1 +3 3
40 Levanger 2 1 0 1 +3 3
41 Ørn Horten 2 1 0 1 +3 3
42 Stabaek 2 1 0 1 +2 3
43 Grorud 2 1 0 1 +2 3
44 Frigg 2 1 0 1 +1 3
45 Skjervøy 2 1 0 1 +1 3
46 Bryne 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Stord 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 Fana 2 1 0 1 +0 3
49 Gjelleråsen 2 1 0 1 +0 3
50 Rosenborg 2 1 0 1 +0 3
51 Lyn 2 1 0 1 +0 3
52 Lysekloster 2 1 0 1 +0 3
53 Strindheim 2 1 0 1 -1 3
54 Notodden 2 1 0 1 -1 3
55 Halsen 2 1 0 1 -1 3
56 Skeid 2 1 0 1 -1 3
57 Kvik Halden 2 1 0 1 -1 3
58 Vidar 2 1 0 1 -1 3
59 Fjøra 2 1 0 1 -3 3
60 Byåsen 2 1 0 1 -4 3
61 Melhus 2 1 0 1 -4 3
62 Mjølner 2 1 0 1 -6 3
63 Lokomotiv Oslo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Eidsvold 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Sandefjord 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Follo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Eik-Tønsberg 2 0 1 1 -1 1
68 Strommen 2 0 1 1 -2 1
69 Træff 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 Bjarg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Fløya 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Loddefjord 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Herd 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Brodd 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Lørenskog 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Staal Jørpeland 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Kråkerøy 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Drøbak / Frogn 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Trygg/Lade 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Råde 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Nordstrand 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Nardo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Os 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Heming 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Harstad 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Lillehammer 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Egersund 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Finnsnes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 Fyllingsdalen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
90 Førde 1 0 0 1 -2 0
91 Rosseland 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 Sandviken 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 Funnefoss / Vormsund 1 0 0 1 -2 0
94 Fram 1 0 0 1 -2 0
95 Pors Grenland 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 Asker 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 Flekkerøy 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Kolstad 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Rana 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Holmlia 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Tomrefjord 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Brumunddal 1 0 0 1 -3 0
103 Ullern 1 0 0 1 -3 0
104 Hønefoss 1 0 0 1 -3 0
105 Verdal 1 0 0 1 -3 0
106 Skjetten 1 0 0 1 -3 0
107 Sprint-Jeløy 1 0 0 1 -3 0
108 Mandalskameratene 1 0 0 1 -3 0
109 Mosjøen 1 0 0 1 -3 0
110 Elverum 1 0 0 1 -4 0
111 Drammens BK 1 0 0 1 -4 0
112 Surnadal 1 0 0 1 -4 0
113 Floro 1 0 0 1 -4 0
114 Flint 1 0 0 1 -4 0
115 Åssiden IF 1 0 0 1 -4 0
116 Eid 1 0 0 1 -4 0
117 Skedsmo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
118 Djerv 1 0 0 1 -5 0
119 Innstranden 1 0 0 1 -5 0
120 Orkla 1 0 0 1 -5 0
121 Frøya 1 0 0 1 -5 0
122 Spjelkavik 1 0 0 1 -5 0
123 Nybergsund 1 0 0 1 -5 0
124 Forus og Gausel 1 0 0 1 -5 0
125 Urædd 1 0 0 1 -6 0
126 Bossekop 1 0 0 1 -7 0
127 Randesund 1 0 0 1 -8 0
128 Hammerfest IF Stein 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kristiansund Molde
Half-time 0–0
66′
🔁 M. Eikrem
↦ M. Grødem
66′
🔁 V. Berisha
↦ O. Brynhildsen
66′
K. Eriksen 0–1
B. Willumsson 🔁
↦ B. Stokke
73′
M. Olsen 🔁
↦ M. Williamsen
73′
M. Rakneberg 🔁
↦ S. Nilsen
73′
J. Isaksen 🔁
↦ M. Broholm
79′
O. Sivertsen 🔁
↦ D. Ulvestad
79′
90′
🔁 B. Risa
↦ M. Løvik
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Kristiansund

M. Mbaye
D. Ulvestad
A. Coly
S. Nilsen
M. Williamsen
M. Ceïde
S. Kartum
M. Broholm
B. Stokke
T. Gjertsen
L. Alvheim
Bench (9)
B. Willumsson
M. Olsen
M. Rakneberg
J. Isaksen
O. Sivertsen
A. Hopmark
D. Agbo
M. Mawa
S. McDermott

Coach: C. Michelsen

Molde

O. Petersen
M. Linnes
E. Haugan
B. Hansen
A. Hagelskjær
M. Løvik
K. Eriksen
M. Grødem
O. Brynhildsen
E. Breivik
S. Heggheim
Bench (8)
M. Eikrem
V. Berisha
B. Risa
E. Kitolano
M. Bjørnbak
N. Ødegård
P. Lervik
G. Kjølstad Nyheim

Coach: E. Moe

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Tennøy · 86 kamper i vår database

🟥 Red cards: 0,13 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.