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League Cup
Referee: D Webb
Blackburn
S T S U S
1–2
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackburn Sheffield United
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — League Cup · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 100%
100%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
100%
0%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
1,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+3,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

49% Possession 51%
9 Shots 16
5 Shots on target 5
1 Blocked shots 4
3 Goalkeeper saves 4
6 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
12 Free kicks against 9
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Blackburn 18. · Sheffield United 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Norwich 2 2 0 0 +4 6
2 Middlesbrough 2 2 0 0 +3 6
3 West Brom 1 1 0 0 +3 3
4 Wolves 1 1 0 0 +3 3
5 Sheffield United 1 1 0 0 +3 3
6 Luton 1 1 0 0 +3 3
7 West Ham 1 1 0 0 +2 3
8 Blackpool 1 1 0 0 +2 3
9 Charlton 1 1 0 0 +2 3
10 Stoke 1 1 0 0 +2 3
11 Plymouth 1 1 0 0 +2 3
12 Bradford 1 1 0 0 +2 3
13 Leyton Orient 1 1 0 0 +2 3
14 Southampton 1 1 0 0 +2 3
15 Crawley Town 2 1 0 1 +1 3
16 Lincoln 1 1 0 0 +1 3
17 Stevenage 1 1 0 0 +1 3
18 Blackburn 1 1 0 0 +1 3
19 Crewe 1 1 0 0 +1 3
20 Cambridge United 1 1 0 0 +1 3
21 Watford 1 1 0 0 +1 3
22 Leicester 1 1 0 0 +1 3
23 Sheffield Weds 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 Birmingham 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Walsall 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 Peterborough 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Fleetwood Town 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 Cardiff 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Tranmere 1 0 1 0 +0 1
30 Burnley 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Notts County 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Barnsley 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Wigan 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 Preston 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Huddersfield 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 QPR 1 0 1 0 +0 1
37 Millwall 1 0 1 0 +0 1
38 Bromley 1 0 1 0 +0 1
39 Reading 1 0 1 0 +0 1
40 Salford City 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Shrewsbury 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 Stockport County 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 AFC Wimbledon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Newport County 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Rochdale 2 0 1 1 -2 1
46 Doncaster 2 0 1 1 -2 1
47 Swindon Town 1 0 0 1 -1 0
48 Derby 1 0 0 1 -1 0
49 Wycombe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
50 Burton Albion 1 0 0 1 -1 0
51 Accrington ST 1 0 0 1 -1 0
52 Barnet 1 0 0 1 -1 0
53 Northampton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
54 Wrexham 1 0 0 1 -1 0
55 Bolton 1 0 0 1 -1 0
56 Swansea 1 0 0 1 -1 0
57 Bristol City 1 0 0 1 -1 0
58 Bristol Rovers 1 0 0 1 -1 0
59 Chesterfield 1 0 0 1 -1 0
60 Portsmouth 1 0 0 1 -2 0
61 Grimsby 1 0 0 1 -2 0
62 Cheltenham 1 0 0 1 -2 0
63 Oldham 1 0 0 1 -2 0
64 Exeter City 1 0 0 1 -2 0
65 York 1 0 0 1 -2 0
66 Oxford 1 0 0 1 -2 0
67 Colchester 1 0 0 1 -2 0
68 Milton Keynes Dons 1 0 0 1 -3 0
69 Rotherham 1 0 0 1 -3 0
70 Port Vale 1 0 0 1 -3 0
71 Mansfield Town 1 0 0 1 -3 0
72 Gillingham 1 0 0 1 -3 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Blackburn Sheffield United
O. Afolayan 🔁
↦ Y. Ohashi
11′
20′
T. Cannon 0–1
T. Campbell
Half-time 0–1
H. Pates 🔁
↦ H. Pickering
46′
T. Cantwell 🔁
↦ D. De Neve
46′
K. Montgomery 🔁
↦ S. Morsy
46′
46′
🔁 O. Arblaster
↦ J. Rothwell
1–1 O. Afolayan
R. Morishita
55′
58′
🔁 K. Phillips
↦ J. Riedewald
59′
🔁 C. O'Hare
↦ L. Marsh
67′
🔁 F. Seriki
↦ M. Doherty
F. Vare 🔁
↦ J. Fevrier
72′
75′
🔁 S. McCallum
↦ R. Norrington-Davies
81′
R. Donovan 1–2
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Blackburn

4-2-3-1
1 A. Pears G
47 L. Houghton D
17 H. Carter D
15 S. McLoughlin D
3 H. Pickering D
8 S. Morsy M
30 J. Garrett M
11 J. Fevrier M
25 R. Morishita M
14 D. De Neve M
23 Y. Ohashi F
Bench (9)
22 B. Toth
39 H. Pates
2 R. Alebiosu
6 T. Atcheson
10 T. Cantwell
53 F. Vare
31 K. Montgomery
21 O. Afolayan
9 A. Gudjohnsen

Coach: Tony Mowbray

Sheffield United

4-4-2
17 A. Davies G
2 M. Doherty D
25 M. McGuinness D
33 J. Baptiste D
30 R. Norrington-Davies D
11 R. Donovan M
7 J. Rothwell M
44 J. Riedewald M
34 L. Marsh M
23 T. Campbell F
9 T. Cannon F
Bench (9)
1 M. Cooper
38 F. Seriki
16 J. Shackleton
3 S. McCallum
21 N. Zatterstrom
4 O. Arblaster
27 K. Phillips
10 C. O'Hare
42 S. Peck

Coach: Chris Wilder

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

D Webb · 199 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
2,9 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.