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Premier League

Referee: D England

Newcastle

S S S T T

2–0

Full-time

Arsenal

S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Newcastle Arsenal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

67%

Points per game

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,2

1,8

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+0,3

This season — Premier League · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 45%

31%

58%

Points per game

1,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

47%

58%

Both score Ø 49%

56%

42%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,1

1,6

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

51% Possession 49%

16 Shots 11

4 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

12 Corners 8

6 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 8

0 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Newcastle 14. · Arsenal 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	37	28	6	3	+72	90
2	Liverpool	36	26	8	2	+65	86
3	Chelsea	36	20	10	6	+42	70
4	Tottenham	37	21	5	11	+24	68
5	Arsenal	36	21	3	12	+11	66
6	Man United	37	16	10	11	+1	58
7	West Ham	37	16	8	13	+11	56
8	Wolves	37	15	6	16	-3	51
9	Leicester	36	13	9	14	+0	48
10	Brighton	37	11	15	11	-4	48
11	Brentford	37	13	7	17	-7	46
12	Crystal Palace	36	10	15	11	+4	45
13	Aston Villa	36	13	5	18	-1	44
14	Newcastle	36	11	10	15	-21	43
15	Southampton	36	9	13	14	-20	40
16	Everton	36	10	6	20	-20	36
17	Leeds	37	8	11	18	-38	35
18	Burnley	36	7	13	16	-18	34
19	Watford	37	6	5	26	-42	23
20	Norwich	37	5	7	25	-56	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	18	14	4	0	+38	46
2	Man City	18	14	2	2	+42	44
3	Tottenham	19	13	1	5	+19	40
4	Arsenal	18	12	2	4	+14	38
5	Man United	19	10	5	4	+10	35
6	West Ham	19	9	5	5	+7	32
7	Leicester	18	9	4	5	+8	31
8	Chelsea	17	8	6	3	+14	30
9	Newcastle	18	7	6	5	-3	27
10	Crystal Palace	18	6	8	4	+9	26
11	Everton	18	8	2	8	+1	26
12	Southampton	18	6	7	5	+0	25
13	Brentford	18	7	3	8	+2	24
14	Wolves	19	7	3	9	-5	24
15	Aston Villa	18	6	4	8	+0	22
16	Burnley	18	5	6	7	-6	21
17	Brighton	18	4	7	7	-6	19
18	Leeds	19	4	6	9	-19	18
19	Norwich	18	3	3	12	-26	12
20	Watford	19	2	2	15	-29	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man City	19	14	4	1	+30	46
2	Chelsea	19	12	4	3	+28	40
3	Liverpool	18	12	4	2	+27	40
4	Brighton	19	7	8	4	+2	29
5	Tottenham	18	8	4	6	+5	28
6	Arsenal	18	9	1	8	-3	28
7	Wolves	18	8	3	7	+2	27
8	West Ham	18	7	3	8	+4	24
9	Man United	18	6	5	7	-9	23
10	Aston Villa	18	7	1	10	-1	22
11	Brentford	19	6	4	9	-9	22
12	Crystal Palace	18	4	7	7	-5	19
13	Leicester	18	4	5	9	-8	17
14	Leeds	18	4	5	9	-19	17
15	Newcastle	18	4	4	10	-18	16
16	Watford	18	4	3	11	-13	15
17	Southampton	18	3	6	9	-20	15
18	Burnley	18	2	7	9	-12	13
19	Everton	18	2	4	12	-21	10
20	Norwich	19	2	4	13	-30	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.