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DFB-Pokal
Referee: A Sather
SpVgg Unterhaching
S
3–6
Full-time
Fortuna Dusseldorf
U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

SpVgg Unterhaching Fortuna Dusseldorf
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
0%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
0%
83%
Average goals
2,0
3,5
Scored
2,0
2,2
Conceded
0,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+0,8
This season — DFB-Pokal · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
0%
100%
Both score Ø 50%
0%
100%
Average goals
2,0
4,0
Scored
2,0
3,0
Conceded
0,0
1,0
Goal diff per game
+2,0
+2,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

46% Possession 54%
25 Shots 26
10 Shots on target 9
6 Blocked shots 8
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
10 Corners 8
4 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 17
3 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match SpVgg Unterhaching 21. · Fortuna Dusseldorf 18. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Wolfsburg 2 2 0 0 +7 6
2 St Pauli 2 2 0 0 +6 6
3 Stuttgart 2 2 0 0 +5 6
4 FC 08 Homburg 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Nurnberg 1 1 0 0 +8 3
6 Leverkusen 1 1 0 0 +8 3
7 Heidenheim 1 1 0 0 +8 3
8 Paderborn 1 1 0 0 +7 3
9 M'gladbach 1 1 0 0 +7 3
10 Ein Frankfurt 1 1 0 0 +7 3
11 Dortmund 1 1 0 0 +5 3
12 Hertha 1 1 0 0 +5 3
13 Kaiserslautern 1 1 0 0 +5 3
14 Bayern Munich 1 1 0 0 +4 3
15 Union Berlin 2 1 0 1 +3 3
16 Hoffenheim 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 FC Koln 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Fortuna Dusseldorf 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Freiburg 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Holstein Kiel 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 SpVgg Unterhaching 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Schalke 04 2 1 0 1 +1 3
23 Hamburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
24 FC Viktoria Koln 1 1 0 0 +1 3
25 Magdeburg 1 1 0 0 +1 3
26 FC Saarbrücken 1 1 0 0 +1 3
27 Mainz 1 1 0 0 +1 3
28 RB Leipzig 2 1 0 1 +0 3
29 Greuther Furth 2 1 0 1 +0 3
30 Sandhausen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
31 Hannover 1 0 1 0 +0 1
32 Bielefeld 1 0 1 0 +0 1
33 Bochum 1 0 1 0 +0 1
34 FSV Frankfurt 1 0 1 0 +0 1
35 Hansa Rostock 1 0 1 0 +0 1
36 Rot-Weiß Essen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
37 Wehen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
38 Werder Bremen 1 0 0 1 -1 0
39 Regensburg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
40 Karlsruhe 1 0 0 1 -1 0
41 Elversberg 1 0 0 1 -1 0
42 Hallescher FC 1 0 0 1 -1 0
43 Osnabruck 1 0 0 1 -2 0
44 Braunschweig 1 0 0 1 -2 0
45 Illertissen 1 0 0 1 -2 0
46 Oberachern 1 0 0 1 -2 0
47 FC Gutersloh 1 0 0 1 -2 0
48 Augsburg 1 0 0 1 -2 0
49 VfB Lubeck 1 0 0 1 -3 0
50 Darmstadt 1 0 0 1 -3 0
51 Preußen Münster 1 0 0 1 -4 0
52 Balingen 1 0 0 1 -4 0
53 FC Astoria Walldorf 1 0 0 1 -4 0
54 Schott Mainz 1 0 0 1 -5 0
55 Carl Zeiss Jena 1 0 0 1 -5 0
56 Atlas Delmenhorst 1 0 0 1 -5 0
57 TuS RW Koblenz 1 0 0 1 -5 0
58 Makkabi 1 0 0 1 -6 0
59 Cottbus 1 0 0 1 -7 0
60 Bersenbrück 1 0 0 1 -7 0
61 Lokomotive Leipzig 1 0 0 1 -7 0
62 Oberneuland 1 0 0 1 -8 0
63 Teutonia Ottensen 1 0 0 1 -8 0
64 Rostocker FC 1 0 0 1 -8 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

SpVgg Unterhaching Fortuna Dusseldorf
Tizian Zimmermann 🟨
-5′
3′
🟨 Jamil Siebert
32′
🟨 Yannik Engelhardt
1–0 P. Hobsch ⚽
34′
44′
🟨 Takashi Uchino
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
↦ J. Niemiec
2–0 P. Hobsch ⚽
55′
65′
⚽ F. Klaus 2–1
Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
66′
⚽ Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson 2–2
F. Klaus
3–2 S. Skarlatidis ⚽
B. Mashigo
71′
74′
🟨 Ísak Bergmann Jóhannesson
A. Keller 🔁
↦ B. Mashigo
74′
78′
⚽ Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson 3–3
C. Tzolis
B. Westermeier 🔁
↦ M. Welzmüller
82′
87′
🔁 M. Sobottka
↦ T. Uchino
Manuel Stiefler 🟨
88′
Patrick Hobsch 🟨
93′
M. Krattenmacher 🔁
↦ S. Skarlatidis
94′
99′
🟨 Marcel Sobottka
101′
🟨 Ao Tanaka
105′
🔁 D. Jastrzembski
↦ E. Iyoha
107′
⚽ Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson 3–4
F. Schmid 🔁
↦ D. Waidner
113′
114′
⚽ C. Tzolis 3–5
M. Sobottka
116′
🔁 T. Corsten
↦ C. Tzolis
117′
⚽ D. Jastrzembski 3–6
118′
🔁 K. Suso
↦ F. Klaus
Full-time 3–6

Line-ups

SpVgg Unterhaching

4-4-2
1 R. Vollath G
23 M. Schwabl D
37 R. Schifferl D
8 M. Stiefler D
39 D. Waidner D
38 B. Mashigo M
19 M. Welzmüller M
10 S. Maier M
30 S. Skarlatidis M
11 M. Fetsch F
34 P. Hobsch F
Bench (9)
16 A. Keller
6 B. Westermeier
7 M. Krattenmacher
31 F. Schmid
49 N. Ortel
24 K. Heide
44 A. Hirtlreiter
21 T. Zimmermann
5 J. Welzmüller

Coach: M. Unterberger

Fortuna Dusseldorf

4-4-2
1 K. Niemczycki G
2 T. Uchino D
20 J. Siebert D
15 T. Oberdorf D
19 E. Iyoha D
11 F. Klaus M
6 Y. Engelhardt M
4 A. Tanaka M
7 C. Tzolis M
9 V. Vermeij F
18 J. Niemiec F
Bench (9)
8 Í. Bergmann Jóhannesson
31 M. Sobottka
27 D. Jastrzembski
45 T. Corsten
46 K. Suso
43 K. Manu
21 D. Gorka
44 R. Bird
35 D. Bunk

Coach: D. Thioune

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

A Sather · 21 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,05 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.