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Coupe de France

Referee: A Taleb

Olympique d'Alès

U S S T

4–2

Full-time

Stade Beaucairois

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	SA Mérignac	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Caen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Bastia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Istres	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Saint-Denis	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Boulogne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Metz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Clermont	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Colmar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Dijon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Saint-Colomban Locminé	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Thaon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Concarneau	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Ginglin Cesson	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Chasselay MDA	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Angoulême	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Le Mans	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	RC Saint Joseph	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Cluses-Scionzier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Dragon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Avranches	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Agde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Romorantin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Raon l'Etape	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Biesheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Corte	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Linas-Montlhery	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Saint-Pierre Milizac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Dinan Léhon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Crépy-en-Valois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Diables Noirs	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Rodez	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Vannes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Samaritaine	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Marboz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Grandvillars	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Sablé	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Bayonne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Sarre Union	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Saumur	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Alençon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Ruffiac Malestroit	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Saint-Pierroise	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	Houilles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	FCSR Obernai	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Feytiat	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Nousseviller	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	C' Chartres	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	Freyming	1	0	0	1	-4	0
58	Cannet Rocheville	1	0	0	1	-4	0
59	Haubourdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0
60	St-Philbert Réorthe JA	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Istres	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Saint-Colomban Locminé	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Ginglin Cesson	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Angoulême	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	RC Saint Joseph	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Dragon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Agde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Raon l'Etape	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Corte	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Saint-Pierre Milizac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Crépy-en-Valois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Vannes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Marboz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Grandvillars	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Bayonne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Sarre Union	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Saumur	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Ruffiac Malestroit	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Saint-Pierroise	1	0	0	1	-3	0
23	Houilles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
24	FCSR Obernai	1	0	0	1	-3	0
25	Feytiat	1	0	0	1	-3	0
26	Nousseviller	1	0	0	1	-3	0
27	C' Chartres	1	0	0	1	-4	0
28	Freyming	1	0	0	1	-4	0
29	Haubourdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0
30	St-Philbert Réorthe JA	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	SA Mérignac	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Caen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Bastia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Saint-Denis	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Boulogne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Metz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Clermont	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Colmar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Dijon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Thaon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Concarneau	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Chasselay MDA	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Le Mans	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Cluses-Scionzier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Avranches	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Romorantin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Biesheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Linas-Montlhery	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Dinan Léhon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Diables Noirs	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Rodez	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Samaritaine	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Sablé	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Alençon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Cannet Rocheville	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.