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Coupe de France

Referee: V Ougier

Gallia Lucciana

2–1

Full-time

OCPAM

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	SA Mérignac	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Caen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Bastia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Istres	1	1	0	0	+4	3
6	Saint-Denis	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Boulogne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Metz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Clermont	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Colmar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
11	Dijon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Saint-Colomban Locminé	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Thaon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Concarneau	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Ginglin Cesson	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Chasselay MDA	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Angoulême	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Le Mans	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	RC Saint Joseph	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Cluses-Scionzier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	Dragon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Avranches	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Agde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Romorantin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Raon l'Etape	1	0	1	0	+0	1
31	Biesheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
32	Corte	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	Linas-Montlhery	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Saint-Pierre Milizac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
35	Dinan Léhon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
36	Crépy-en-Valois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
37	Diables Noirs	1	0	1	0	+0	1
38	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Rodez	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Vannes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Samaritaine	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	Marboz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Grandvillars	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Sablé	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Bayonne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Sarre Union	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Saumur	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Alençon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Ruffiac Malestroit	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	Saint-Pierroise	1	0	0	1	-3	0
52	Houilles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	FCSR Obernai	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Feytiat	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Nousseviller	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	C' Chartres	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	Freyming	1	0	0	1	-4	0
58	Cannet Rocheville	1	0	0	1	-4	0
59	Haubourdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0
60	St-Philbert Réorthe JA	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Istres	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Saint-Colomban Locminé	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Ginglin Cesson	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Angoulême	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Les Herbiers	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	RC Saint Joseph	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Dragon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Paris FC	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Agde	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Raon l'Etape	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Corte	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Saint-Pierre Milizac	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Crépy-en-Valois	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Chaumont	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Vannes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Marboz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Grandvillars	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Bayonne	1	0	0	1	-2	0
19	Sarre Union	1	0	0	1	-2	0
20	Saumur	1	0	0	1	-2	0
21	Ruffiac Malestroit	1	0	0	1	-2	0
22	Saint-Pierroise	1	0	0	1	-3	0
23	Houilles	1	0	0	1	-3	0
24	FCSR Obernai	1	0	0	1	-3	0
25	Feytiat	1	0	0	1	-3	0
26	Nousseviller	1	0	0	1	-3	0
27	C' Chartres	1	0	0	1	-4	0
28	Freyming	1	0	0	1	-4	0
29	Haubourdin	1	0	0	1	-6	0
30	St-Philbert Réorthe JA	1	0	0	1	-6	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Red Star	1	1	0	0	+6	3
2	SA Mérignac	1	1	0	0	+6	3
3	Caen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
4	Bastia	1	1	0	0	+4	3
5	Saint-Denis	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Boulogne	1	1	0	0	+3	3
7	Metz	1	1	0	0	+3	3
8	Clermont	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Colmar	1	1	0	0	+3	3
10	Dijon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
11	Pau FC	1	1	0	0	+2	3
12	Thaon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
13	Concarneau	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Lorient	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Chasselay MDA	1	1	0	0	+1	3
16	Le Mans	1	1	0	0	+1	3
17	Cluses-Scionzier	1	1	0	0	+1	3
18	Avranches	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Quevilly Rouen	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Romorantin	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Biesheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Linas-Montlhery	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Dinan Léhon	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Diables Noirs	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Rodez	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Ajaccio	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Samaritaine	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Sablé	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Alençon	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	Cannet Rocheville	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Gallia Lucciana OCPAM

1–0 A. Schuster ⚽

12′

2–0 A. Robic ⚽

18′

Half-time 2–0

46′

🔁 G. Dézothez

↦ M. Sacko

46′

🔁 Rúben Évora Moniz

↦ H. Karamoko

D. Haro 🔁

↦ F. Zamboni

55′

🔁 N. Homsa

↦ S. Rouane

65′

🔁 N. Jeanne

↦ S. Gourch

75′

🔁 H. El Goundoul

↦ A. Harvey

M. Zamboni 🔁

↦ T. Boy

78′

A. Laghouaouta 🔁

↦ A. Robic

88′

I. Diack 🔁

↦ A. Schuster

88′

M. El Khouil 🔁

↦ P. Ivaldi

88′

89′

⚽ M. Kebe 2–1

Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Gallia Lucciana

F. Menozzi

P. Ivaldi

A. Caldeirinha

F. Catoire

F. Zamboni

B. Brunet

A. Tournier

T. Boy

J. Vittori

A. Robic

A. Schuster

Bench (7)

D. Haro

M. Zamboni

A. Laghouaouta

I. Diack

M. El Khouil

A. Cesari

O. Cristiani

Coach: J. Cloet

OCPAM

T. Dubois

R. Mabunda

A. Harvey

A. Mimbelé

M. Sacko

C. Bombo

H. Karamoko

S. Rouane

S. Kyei

M. Kebe

S. Gourch

Bench (7)

G. Dézothez

Rúben Évora Moniz

N. Homsa

N. Jeanne

H. El Goundoul

J. Jacquet

L. Arbaoui

Coach: H. Papavero

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

H ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5

–

🔒

U3,5 ✓

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

29. Oct CDF 3 years ago

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match report

Line-ups

Gallia Lucciana

OCPAM

Odds comparison

Recent matches