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Coupe de France
Referee: G Martin
Valence FC
1–0
Full-time
Marignane

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Red Star 1 1 0 0 +6 3
2 SA Mérignac 1 1 0 0 +6 3
3 Annecy 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Guingamp 1 1 0 0 +5 3
5 Caen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Bastia 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Istres 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Mâcon 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Bourgoin-Jallieu 1 1 0 0 +4 3
10 Saint-Denis 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 Boulogne 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 St-Philbert Gd Lieu 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Metz 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Clermont 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Colmar 1 1 0 0 +3 3
16 Thionville Lusitanos 1 1 0 0 +3 3
17 Olympique d'Alès 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Nancy 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Dijon 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Saint-Colomban Locminé 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Sochaux 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Versailles 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Pau FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Troyes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Thaon 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Concarneau 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Ginglin Cesson 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Lorient 1 1 0 0 +2 3
29 Valenciennes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
30 Chasselay MDA 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Angoulême 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Gallia Lucciana 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Drancy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 Le Mans 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 Les Herbiers 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 RC Saint Joseph 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 La Roche sur Yon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Beauvais 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Rumilly Vallières 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Espaly-Saint-Marcel 1 1 0 0 +1 3
41 Cluses-Scionzier 1 1 0 0 +1 3
42 Haguenau 1 1 0 0 +1 3
43 Colomiers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Vierzon FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 Dragon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Avranches 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Cesson 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 TA Rennes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Paris FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Grenoble 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Villefranche 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Fleury 91 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Amiens 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Agde 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Romorantin 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Raon l'Etape 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Biesheim 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Corte 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Linas-Montlhery 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Saint-Pierre Milizac 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Dinan Léhon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Montagnarde 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Tours 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Saint-Lô Manche 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Dives-Cabourg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Vitré 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Laval 1 0 1 0 +0 1
69 Stade Béthunois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
70 Dunkerque 1 0 1 0 +0 1
71 Crépy-en-Valois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
72 Diables Noirs 1 0 1 0 +0 1
73 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Rodez 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 OCPAM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Pays de Cassel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Vannes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Ajaccio 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Samaritaine 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Vendée Fontenay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Chantilly 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Jura Dolois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 Biars-Bretenoux 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Marboz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Blenod 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Stade Beaucairois 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Epinal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Grandvillars 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 Sablé 1 0 0 1 -2 0
90 Gueugnon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
91 Canet Roussillon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 Bayonne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 Foron 1 0 0 1 -2 0
94 Sarre Union 1 0 0 1 -2 0
95 Saumur 1 0 0 1 -2 0
96 Alençon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
97 Ruffiac Malestroit 1 0 0 1 -2 0
98 Arras 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Saint-Pierroise 1 0 0 1 -3 0
100 Houilles 1 0 0 1 -3 0
101 Thouars 1 0 0 1 -3 0
102 FCSR Obernai 1 0 0 1 -3 0
103 Feytiat 1 0 0 1 -3 0
104 Nousseviller 1 0 0 1 -3 0
105 Boulay 1 0 0 1 -3 0
106 C' Chartres 1 0 0 1 -4 0
107 Freyming 1 0 0 1 -4 0
108 Cannet Rocheville 1 0 0 1 -4 0
109 Guéreins Genouilleux 1 0 0 1 -4 0
110 St-Just St-Rambert 1 0 0 1 -4 0
111 Vesoul 1 0 0 1 -5 0
112 Serquigny Nassandres 1 0 0 1 -5 0
113 Haubourdin 1 0 0 1 -6 0
114 St-Philbert Réorthe JA 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5
–
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U1,5 ✓
–
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O2,5
–
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U2,5 ✓
–
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O3,5
–
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U3,5 ✓
–
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Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
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BLS nei ✓
–
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Recent matches

No matches played yet.

No matches played yet.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.