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Coupe de France
Referee: W Bertolotti
0–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Red Star 1 1 0 0 +6 3
2 SA Mérignac 1 1 0 0 +6 3
3 Annecy 1 1 0 0 +5 3
4 Caen 1 1 0 0 +4 3
5 Bastia 1 1 0 0 +4 3
6 Istres 1 1 0 0 +4 3
7 Mâcon 1 1 0 0 +4 3
8 Bourgoin-Jallieu 1 1 0 0 +4 3
9 Saint-Denis 1 1 0 0 +3 3
10 Boulogne 1 1 0 0 +3 3
11 St-Philbert Gd Lieu 1 1 0 0 +3 3
12 Metz 1 1 0 0 +3 3
13 Clermont 1 1 0 0 +3 3
14 Colmar 1 1 0 0 +3 3
15 Olympique d'Alès 1 1 0 0 +2 3
16 Nancy 1 1 0 0 +2 3
17 Dijon 1 1 0 0 +2 3
18 Saint-Colomban Locminé 1 1 0 0 +2 3
19 Sochaux 1 1 0 0 +2 3
20 Versailles 1 1 0 0 +2 3
21 Pau FC 1 1 0 0 +2 3
22 Troyes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
23 Thaon 1 1 0 0 +2 3
24 Concarneau 1 1 0 0 +2 3
25 Ginglin Cesson 1 1 0 0 +2 3
26 Lorient 1 1 0 0 +2 3
27 Valenciennes 1 1 0 0 +2 3
28 Chasselay MDA 1 1 0 0 +1 3
29 Angoulême 1 1 0 0 +1 3
30 Gallia Lucciana 1 1 0 0 +1 3
31 Drancy 1 1 0 0 +1 3
32 Le Mans 1 1 0 0 +1 3
33 Les Herbiers 1 1 0 0 +1 3
34 RC Saint Joseph 1 1 0 0 +1 3
35 La Roche sur Yon 1 1 0 0 +1 3
36 Beauvais 1 1 0 0 +1 3
37 Rumilly Vallières 1 1 0 0 +1 3
38 Espaly-Saint-Marcel 1 1 0 0 +1 3
39 Cluses-Scionzier 1 1 0 0 +1 3
40 Colomiers 1 0 1 0 +0 1
41 Vierzon FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
42 Dragon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
43 Avranches 1 0 1 0 +0 1
44 Cesson 1 0 1 0 +0 1
45 TA Rennes 1 0 1 0 +0 1
46 Paris FC 1 0 1 0 +0 1
47 Quevilly Rouen 1 0 1 0 +0 1
48 Fleury 91 1 0 1 0 +0 1
49 Amiens 1 0 1 0 +0 1
50 Agde 1 0 1 0 +0 1
51 Romorantin 1 0 1 0 +0 1
52 Raon l'Etape 1 0 1 0 +0 1
53 Biesheim 1 0 1 0 +0 1
54 Corte 1 0 1 0 +0 1
55 Linas-Montlhery 1 0 1 0 +0 1
56 Saint-Pierre Milizac 1 0 1 0 +0 1
57 Dinan Léhon 1 0 1 0 +0 1
58 Montagnarde 1 0 1 0 +0 1
59 Tours 1 0 1 0 +0 1
60 Saint-Lô Manche 1 0 1 0 +0 1
61 Dives-Cabourg 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Vitré 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Laval 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Stade Béthunois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Dunkerque 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Crépy-en-Valois 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Diables Noirs 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Chaumont 1 0 0 1 -1 0
69 Rodez 1 0 0 1 -1 0
70 OCPAM 1 0 0 1 -1 0
71 Pays de Cassel 1 0 0 1 -1 0
72 Vannes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Ajaccio 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Samaritaine 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Vendée Fontenay 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Chantilly 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Jura Dolois 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Biars-Bretenoux 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Marboz 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Stade Beaucairois 1 0 0 1 -2 0
81 Epinal 1 0 0 1 -2 0
82 Grandvillars 1 0 0 1 -2 0
83 Sablé 1 0 0 1 -2 0
84 Gueugnon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
85 Canet Roussillon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
86 Bayonne 1 0 0 1 -2 0
87 Foron 1 0 0 1 -2 0
88 Sarre Union 1 0 0 1 -2 0
89 Saumur 1 0 0 1 -2 0
90 Alençon 1 0 0 1 -2 0
91 Ruffiac Malestroit 1 0 0 1 -2 0
92 Arras 1 0 0 1 -2 0
93 Saint-Pierroise 1 0 0 1 -3 0
94 Houilles 1 0 0 1 -3 0
95 Thouars 1 0 0 1 -3 0
96 FCSR Obernai 1 0 0 1 -3 0
97 Feytiat 1 0 0 1 -3 0
98 Nousseviller 1 0 0 1 -3 0
99 C' Chartres 1 0 0 1 -4 0
100 Freyming 1 0 0 1 -4 0
101 Cannet Rocheville 1 0 0 1 -4 0
102 Guéreins Genouilleux 1 0 0 1 -4 0
103 St-Just St-Rambert 1 0 0 1 -4 0
104 Vesoul 1 0 0 1 -5 0
105 Haubourdin 1 0 0 1 -6 0
106 St-Philbert Réorthe JA 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.