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Coppa Italia

Referee: D Perenzoni

Lecce

T T S U U

0–2

Full-time

Sassuolo

S U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lecce Sassuolo

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

1,5

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Coppa Italia · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

3,0

Scored

2,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

65% Possession 35%

14 Shots 12

7 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 7

8 Corners 4

0 Offside 2

10 Free kicks against 14

0 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lecce 9. · Sassuolo 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Cesena	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+4	3
3	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Pisa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Brescia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Torino	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Mantova	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Carrarese	2	1	0	1	-1	3
14	Avellino	2	1	0	1	-2	3
15	Salernitana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
18	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	1
19	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
20	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
21	Napoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
22	Modena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Monza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Cittadella	1	0	0	1	-1	0
26	Verona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
27	Catania	1	0	0	1	-1	0
28	Torres	1	0	0	1	-1	0
29	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0
33	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
34	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
36	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Udinese	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Empoli	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Cagliari	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Brescia	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Cesena	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Avellino	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Torino	1	1	0	0	+2	3
8	Sassuolo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Lecce	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Carrarese	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Genoa	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Salernitana	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Sampdoria	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Cremonese	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Napoli	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	Monza	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Verona	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Torres	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Parma	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	Frosinone	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Pisa	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Cesena	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Palermo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Mantova	2	1	0	1	+0	3
5	Spezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Como	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Bari	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Modena	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Sudtirol	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Cittadella	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Catania	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Reggiana	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Carrarese	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Venezia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Padova	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Juve Stabia	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Catanzaro	1	0	0	1	-3	0
19	Avellino	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.