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Serie B
Referee: M Ferrieri Caputi
Cagliari
T U U U U
1–1
Full-time
Parma
T S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cagliari Parma
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 58%
83%
33%
Average goals
2,7
1,8
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,2
This season — Serie B · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 36%
29%
43%
Points per game
1,3
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
43%
50%
Both score Ø 57%
64%
50%
Average goals
2,4
2,5
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,1
+0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

43% Possession 57%
12 Shots 17
6 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 5
5 Corners 7
3 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 14
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cagliari 11. · Parma 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Frosinone 14 10 1 3 +12 31
2 Reggina 14 8 2 4 +13 26
3 Genoa 14 6 5 3 +4 23
4 Brescia 14 6 5 3 +1 23
5 Bari 14 5 7 2 +6 22
6 Parma 14 6 4 4 +5 22
7 Ternana 15 6 4 5 +1 22
8 Sudtirol 14 5 6 3 -1 21
9 Ascoli 14 5 5 4 +2 20
10 Pisa 14 4 6 4 +4 18
11 Cagliari 14 4 6 4 -1 18
12 Modena 14 5 2 7 +0 17
13 Cittadella 14 3 7 4 -4 16
14 Spal 14 3 6 5 -1 15
15 Benevento 14 3 6 5 -2 15
16 Palermo 14 4 3 7 -5 15
17 Venezia 15 4 3 8 -6 15
18 Cosenza 14 4 3 7 -9 15
19 Como 14 3 5 6 -9 14
20 Perugia 14 3 2 9 -10 11

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cagliari Parma
21′
ℹ️ Dennis Man
VAR: Goal cancelled
34′
🟨 Leandro Chichizola
44′
D. Camara 0–1
F. Vázquez
Half-time 0–1
Leonardo Pavoletti 🟨
50′
1–1 L. Pavoletti
54′
Nahitan Nández 🟨
60′
A. Deiola 🔁
↦ N. Viola
65′
65′
🔁 V. Mihăilă
↦ D. Man
71′
🟨 Stanko Jurić
72′
🔁 N. Estévez
↦ S. Jurić
72′
🔁 A. Benedyczak
↦ D. Camara
73′
🟨 Yordan Osorio
Zito Luvumbo 🔁
↦ N. Nández
80′
80′
🔁 G. Tutino
↦ Adrián Bernabé
80′
🔁 A. Bonny
↦ R. Inglese
N. Lella 🔁
↦ C. Kourfalidis
92′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Cagliari

4-3-1-2
1 B. Radunović G
99 A. Di Pardo D
24 E. Capradossi D
33 A. Obert D
27 A. Barreca D
8 N. Nández M
10 N. Viola M
29 A. Makoumbou M
39 C. Kourfalidis M
9 G. Lapadula F
30 L. Pavoletti F
Bench (12)
14 A. Deiola
77 Zito Luvumbo
23 N. Lella
18 S. Aresti
19 V. Millico
28 G. Zappa
4 A. Dossena
15 G. Altare
16 F. Carboni
20 G. Pereiro
3 E. Goldaniga
25 F. Falco

Coach: F. Liverani

Parma

4-2-3-1
22 L. Chichizola G
15 E. Del Prato D
4 B. Balogh D
3 Y. Osorio D
17 J. Oosterwolde D
16 Adrián Bernabé M
24 S. Jurić M
23 D. Camara M
10 F. Vázquez M
98 D. Man M
45 R. Inglese F
Bench (12)
28 V. Mihăilă
8 N. Estévez
7 A. Benedyczak
11 G. Tutino
13 A. Bonny
30 L. Valenti
39 A. Circati
29 A. Santurro
26 W. Coulibaly
20 A. Hainaut
47 V. Zagaritis
40 E. Corvi

Coach: F. Pecchia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,36
U ✓
3,19
B
3,04
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,03
U2,5 ✓
1,76
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Ferrieri Caputi · 46 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.