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Copa del Rey
Referee: Juan Martínez
2–2
Full-time
Alaves
S S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Deportiva Minera Alaves
Last 6 — all competitions · 1/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
100%
33%
Both score Ø 17%
0%
33%
Average goals
5,0
1,8
Scored
5,0
0,7
Conceded
0,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+5,0
-0,5
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Copa del Rey · 1/1 matches
Win Ø 100%
100%
100%
Points per game
3,0
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
100%
0%
Both score Ø 0%
0%
0%
Average goals
5,0
1,0
Scored
5,0
1,0
Conceded
0,0
0,0
Goal diff per game
+5,0
+1,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Deportiva Minera 32. · Alaves 43.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Celta 2 2 0 0 +11 6
2 Las Palmas 2 2 0 0 +8 6
3 Betis 2 2 0 0 +7 6
4 Osasuna 2 2 0 0 +6 6
5 Vallecano 2 2 0 0 +6 6
6 Barbastro 2 2 0 0 +6 6
7 Valladolid 2 2 0 0 +5 6
8 Ath Madrid 2 2 0 0 +4 6
9 Pontevedra 2 2 0 0 +4 6
10 Elche 2 2 0 0 +4 6
11 Ferrol 2 2 0 0 +3 6
12 Valencia 2 2 0 0 +3 6
13 Huesca 2 2 0 0 +3 6
14 Santander 2 2 0 0 +2 6
15 Almeria 2 2 0 0 +2 6
16 Ourense CF 2 2 0 0 +2 6
17 Marbella 2 2 0 0 +2 6
18 Eldense 2 2 0 0 +2 6
19 Cartagena 2 2 0 0 +2 6
20 Zaragoza 2 1 1 0 +4 4
21 Girona 2 1 1 0 +4 4
22 Getafe 2 1 1 0 +3 4
23 Granada 2 1 1 0 +2 4
24 Tenerife 2 1 1 0 +2 4
25 Estepona 2 1 1 0 +1 4
26 Leganes 2 1 1 0 +1 4
27 Castellon 2 1 1 0 +1 4
28 Zamora 2 1 1 0 +1 4
29 Orihuela 2 1 1 0 +1 4
30 UD Logroñés 2 1 1 0 +1 4
31 Yeclano 2 1 0 1 +5 3
32 Deportiva Minera 1 1 0 0 +5 3
33 Sociedad 1 1 0 0 +5 3
34 Villarreal 2 1 0 1 +4 3
35 Unionistas de Salamanca 2 1 0 1 +3 3
36 Sevilla 1 1 0 0 +3 3
37 Burgos 2 1 0 1 +2 3
38 Espanol 2 1 0 1 +2 3
39 Vic 2 1 0 1 +2 3
40 Cadiz 2 1 0 1 +2 3
41 Barakaldo 2 1 0 1 +1 3
42 Cultural Leonesa 2 1 0 1 +1 3
43 Alaves 1 1 0 0 +1 3
44 Conquense 1 1 0 0 +1 3
45 Ceuta 2 1 0 1 +0 3
46 Europa Fc 2 1 0 1 +0 3
47 Andorra 2 1 0 1 +0 3
48 Gimnastic 2 1 0 1 +0 3
49 Sp Gijon 2 1 0 1 +0 3
50 Parla Escuela 2 1 0 1 +0 3
51 Chiclana 2 1 0 1 -1 3
52 Cacereño 2 1 0 1 -1 3
53 Astur 2 1 0 1 -1 3
54 Manises 2 1 0 1 -1 3
55 Sant Andreu 2 1 0 1 -1 3
56 Ejea 2 1 0 1 -1 3
57 UD San Pedro 2 1 0 1 -2 3
58 Villamuriel 2 1 0 1 -4 3
59 Salamanca UDS 2 1 0 1 -6 3
60 Ponferradina 2 0 2 0 +0 2
61 Olot 1 0 1 0 +0 1
62 Cordoba 1 0 1 0 +0 1
63 Selaya 1 0 1 0 +0 1
64 Baztán 1 0 1 0 +0 1
65 Playas Sotavento 1 0 1 0 +0 1
66 Escobedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
67 Oviedo 1 0 1 0 +0 1
68 Real Ávila 2 0 1 1 -2 1
69 San Tirso 2 0 1 1 -4 1
70 Gévora 2 0 1 1 -5 1
71 Ontiñena 2 0 1 1 -7 1
72 Lanzarote 1 0 0 1 -1 0
73 Malaga 1 0 0 1 -1 0
74 Guijuelo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
75 Gimnástica Segoviana 1 0 0 1 -1 0
76 Ibiza Islas Pitiusas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
77 Juventud Torremolinos 1 0 0 1 -1 0
78 Albacete 1 0 0 1 -1 0
79 Ciudad de Lucena 1 0 0 1 -1 0
80 Langreo 1 0 0 1 -1 0
81 Bergantiños 1 0 0 1 -1 0
82 Mirandes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
83 SS Reyes 1 0 0 1 -1 0
84 Don Benito 1 0 0 1 -1 0
85 Numancia 1 0 0 1 -1 0
86 Eibar 1 0 0 1 -1 0
87 Beasain 1 0 0 1 -1 0
88 Atlético Paso 1 0 0 1 -1 0
89 La Coruna 1 0 0 1 -1 0
90 Compostela 1 0 0 1 -1 0
91 Águilas 1 0 0 1 -1 0
92 Sonseca 1 0 0 1 -1 0
93 Aurrerá Vitoria 1 0 0 1 -1 0
94 Alcorcon 1 0 0 1 -1 0
95 Ibiza 1 0 0 1 -1 0
96 Xerez 1 0 0 1 -1 0
97 Hércules 1 0 0 1 -1 0
98 Ceuta 6 de Junio 1 0 0 1 -2 0
99 Lleida Esportiu 1 0 0 1 -2 0
100 Dolorense 1 0 0 1 -2 0
101 Cuarte 1 0 0 1 -2 0
102 Alfaro 1 0 0 1 -2 0
103 Badalona 1 0 0 1 -2 0
104 Promesas EDF 1 0 0 1 -2 0
105 Cortes 1 0 0 1 -2 0
106 Llanera 1 0 0 1 -2 0
107 Móstoles 1 0 0 1 -3 0
108 Levante 1 0 0 1 -3 0
109 CD Coria 1 0 0 1 -3 0
110 Las Rozas 1 0 0 1 -3 0
111 Real Jaén 1 0 0 1 -3 0
112 L'Hospitalet 1 0 0 1 -4 0
113 Utebo 1 0 0 1 -4 0
114 Melilla CD 1 0 0 1 -4 0
115 Amorebieta 1 0 0 1 -4 0
116 Sporting Mahón 1 0 0 1 -4 0
117 Extremadura 1924 1 0 0 1 -4 0
118 Poblense 1 0 0 1 -5 0
119 Tudelano 1 0 0 1 -5 0
120 Jove Español 1 0 0 1 -5 0
121 Laredo 1 0 0 1 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Deportiva Minera Alaves
1–0 José Mas
Pipo
33′
Half-time 1–0
55′
🔁 T. Conechny
↦ Jon Guridi
55′
🔁 Kike García
↦ Asier Villalibre
60′
Kike García 1–1
Carlos Vicente
Javi Vera 🔁
↦ Francis Ferrón
64′
Sergio Cortado 🔁
↦ Domi Pujante
64′
Monty 🟨
73′
77′
🔁 L. Romero
↦ Carlos Vicente
77′
🔁 A. Rebbach
↦ Toni Martínez
S. Cortado 🟨
78′
79′
🟨 A. Blanco
84′
🔁 C. Benavídez
↦ N. Tenaglia
Diego de Diego 🔁
↦ Monty
88′
Francisco Molina 🔁
↦ Juanmi Heredero
88′
90′
🔁 Ander Guevara
↦ Antonio Blanco
F. Molina 🟨
91′
J. Vera 🟨
92′
Raúl Sanchís 🔁
↦ Pipo
95′
S. Baradji 🔁
↦ Omar Perdomo
100′
2–1 S. Baradji
107′
D. Morante 🟥
107′
108′
Kike García 2–2
121′
Joan Jordán 2–3
3–3 C. Britos
122′
123′
A. Rebbach
penalty missed
123′
A. Rebbach
penalty missed
123′
A. Rebbach
penalty missed
123′
A. Rebbach
penalty missed
123′
A. Rebbach
penalty missed
123′
A. Rebbach
penalty missed
4–3 Raúl Sanchís
124′
125′
C. Benavídez
penalty missed
125′
C. Benavídez
penalty missed
125′
C. Benavídez
penalty missed
125′
C. Benavídez
penalty missed
125′
C. Benavídez
penalty missed
125′
C. Benavídez
penalty missed
5–3 Javi Vera
126′
127′
T. Conechny 5–4
6–4 José Mas
128′
Full-time 6–4

Line-ups

Deportiva Minera

1 Fran Martínez
3 Juanmi Heredero
22 David Morante
24 José Mas
15 D. Petcoff
8 C. Britos
14 Monty
10 Domi Pujante
19 Omar Perdomo
9 Francis Ferrón
23 Pipo
Bench (10)
17 Sergio Cortado
6 Javi Vera
5 Francisco Molina
20 Diego de Diego
18 Raúl Sanchís
11 S. Baradji
12 Manuel Rodriguez
4 Julio Algar
7 Feli Martínez
13 Oleg Oliynyk

Coach: José Pérez

Alaves

1 Antonio Sivera
4 A. Sedlar
14 N. Tenaglia
3 Manu Sánchez
12 S. Mouriño
24 Joan Jordán
18 Jon Guridi
8 Antonio Blanco
9 Asier Villalibre
11 Toni Martínez
7 Carlos Vicente
Bench (10)
17 Kike García
10 T. Conechny
21 A. Rebbach
20 L. Romero
23 C. Benavídez
6 Ander Guevara
19 Stoichkov
36 Adrián Pica
15 Carlos Martín
13 Jesús Owono

Coach: E. Coudet

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Juan Martínez · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.