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DFB-Pokal

Referee: J Wienefeld

Altglienicke

3–3

Full-time

Wolfsburg

S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

24% Possession 76%

9 Shots 32

5 Shots on target 16

1 Blocked shots 7

12 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 13

2 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+11	3
2	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+9	3
3	Hannover	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Dresden	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	SSV Jeddeloh	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
19	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+2	3
20	Bochum	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
23	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+1	3
24	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
26	FC Saarbrücken	1	0	1	0	+0	1
27	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	FC Viktoria Koln	1	0	1	0	+0	1
29	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
30	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-1	0
32	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
33	Waldhof Mannheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
34	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
35	Phönix Lübeck	1	0	0	1	-2	0
36	MSV Duisburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
37	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
38	St Pauli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
39	TSV 1860 Munich	1	0	0	1	-2	0
40	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0
41	Lüneburger SK Hansa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
42	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	0	1	-4	0
43	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	0	1	-4	0
44	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
45	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-4	0
46	Bahlinger SC	1	0	0	1	-4	0
47	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
48	Eintracht Trier	1	0	0	1	-6	0
49	Westfalia Rhynern	1	0	0	1	-6	0
50	Hemelingen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
51	Krieschow	1	0	0	1	-9	0
52	SC St. Tönis	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	SSV Jeddeloh	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	SG Sonnenhof Grossaspach	1	0	1	0	+0	1
4	FC Saarbrücken	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	FC Viktoria Koln	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Greuther Furth	1	0	0	1	-1	0
7	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Waldhof Mannheim	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Phönix Lübeck	1	0	0	1	-2	0
12	MSV Duisburg	1	0	0	1	-2	0
13	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	TSV 1860 Munich	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Lüneburger SK Hansa	1	0	0	1	-3	0
16	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	0	1	-4	0
17	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	0	1	-4	0
18	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
19	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-4	0
20	Bahlinger SC	1	0	0	1	-4	0
21	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-5	0
22	Eintracht Trier	1	0	0	1	-6	0
23	Westfalia Rhynern	1	0	0	1	-6	0
24	Hemelingen	1	0	0	1	-8	0
25	Krieschow	1	0	0	1	-9	0
26	SC St. Tönis	1	0	0	1	-11	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+11	3
2	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+9	3
3	Hannover	1	1	0	0	+8	3
4	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+6	3
5	Dresden	1	1	0	0	+6	3
6	M'gladbach	1	1	0	0	+5	3
7	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
8	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+4	3
11	Magdeburg	1	1	0	0	+4	3
12	Werder Bremen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Union Berlin	1	1	0	0	+2	3
14	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+2	3
15	Elversberg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
16	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	Holstein Kiel	1	1	0	0	+2	3
18	Bochum	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Karlsruhe	1	1	0	0	+1	3
20	Darmstadt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Kaiserslautern	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Bielefeld	1	0	1	0	+0	1
23	Hertha	1	0	1	0	+0	1
24	Nurnberg	1	0	1	0	+0	1
25	St Pauli	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Heidenheim	1	0	0	1	-3	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Altglienicke Wolfsburg

1–0 J. Nietfeld ⚽

L. Czyborra

6′

40′

🟨 Vinícius Souza

Half-time 1–0

46′

🔁 S. Kumbedi

↦ J. Maehle

46′

🔁 M. Arnold

↦ Vini Souza

46′

🔁 E. Rexhbecaj

↦ M. Svanberg

Emeka Oduah 🟨

52′

55′

⚽ M. Arnold 1–1

A. Bernhardsson

N. Zografakis 🔁

↦ J. Nietfeld

57′

Tim Rieder 🟨

61′

68′

🔁 A. Besio

↦ A. Bernhardsson

2–1 J. Saliger ⚽

71′

A. Ersungur 🔁

↦ J. Hartl

77′

🔁 B. Dardai

↦ J. Adjetey

83′

⚽ M. Arnold 2–2

N. Kardam 🔁

↦ J. Saliger

88′

P. Turpitz 🔁

↦ L. Czyborra

101′

M. Ibrahimi 🔁

↦ T. Rieder

101′

3–2 M. Ibrahimi ⚽

109′

117′

⚽ H. Wahl 3–3

F. Reese

121′

🟨 Kilian Fischer

Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Altglienicke

4-3-3

1 L. Zwick

17 U. Tezel D

5 D. Kebe D

4 S. Sonnenberg D

3 L. Czyborra D

21 J. Hartl M

23 T. Rieder M

24 M. Sylla M

9 E. Oduah F

10 J. Nietfeld F

19 J. Saliger F

Bench (9)

22 L. Klatte

25 J. Brooks

27 N. Kardam

13 D. Rossbach

16 A. Barylla

28 A. Ersungur

20 P. Turpitz

7 N. Zografakis

39 M. Ibrahimi

Coach: Dan Twardzik

Wolfsburg

4-2-3-1

J. Zielinski G

K. Fischer D

J. Adjetey D

H. Wahl D

J. Maehle D

Vini Souza M

M. Svanberg M

A. Bernhardsson M

M. Damar M

F. Reese M

K. Shiogai F

Bench (9)

12 P. Pervan

26 S. Kumbedi

22 M. Angely

33 Cleiton

27 M. Arnold

31 Y. Gerhardt

37 E. Rexhbecaj

8 B. Dardai

23 A. Besio

Coach: Tobias Strobl

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2

–

🔒

U ✓

–

🔒

–

🔒

Over/under goals

O1,5 ✓

–

🔒

U1,5

–

🔒

O2,5 ✓

–

🔒

U2,5

–

🔒

O3,5 ✓

–

🔒

U3,5

–

🔒

Both teams to score

BLS ja ✓

–

🔒

BLS nei

–

🔒

Recent matches

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The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.

How the model saw the match

How the model assessed the goals markets

Most likely result

Match stats

Match report

Line-ups

Altglienicke

Wolfsburg

Odds comparison

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