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DFB-Pokal

Referee: H Osmers

Bayern Munich

S S S S U

0–1

Full-time

Leverkusen

T U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bayern Munich Leverkusen

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

83%

50%

Points per game

2,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,8

3,5

Scored

1,7

2,2

Conceded

0,2

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,5

+0,8

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — DFB-Pokal · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

100%

50%

Both score Ø 0%

Average goals

4,0

2,0

Scored

4,0

2,0

Conceded

0,0

Goal diff per game

+4,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

58% Possession 42%

14 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 2

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

12 Corners 4

1 Offside 3

8 Free kicks against 13

2 Yellow cards 3

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Bayern Munich 3. · Leverkusen 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	3	3	0	0	+9	9
2	Bielefeld	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+8	6
4	Karlsruhe	2	2	0	0	+7	6
5	Augsburg	2	2	0	0	+6	6
6	RB Leipzig	2	2	0	0	+5	6
7	Hertha	2	2	0	0	+5	6
8	FC Koln	2	2	0	0	+4	6
9	Ein Frankfurt	2	2	0	0	+4	6
10	Leverkusen	2	2	0	0	+4	6
11	Freiburg	3	2	0	1	+3	6
12	Darmstadt	2	2	0	0	+3	6
13	Werder Bremen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
14	Wolfsburg	2	2	0	0	+2	6
15	Regensburg	3	2	0	1	-1	6
16	Hoffenheim	2	1	1	0	+1	4
17	Hamburg	2	1	0	1	+5	3
18	Elversberg	2	1	0	1	+4	3
19	Heidenheim	2	1	0	1	+3	3
20	Paderborn	2	1	0	1	+3	3
21	Dortmund	2	1	0	1	+2	3
22	M'gladbach	2	1	0	1	+1	3
23	Dresden	2	1	0	1	+1	3
24	Greuther Furth	2	1	0	1	+1	3
25	Kaiserslautern	2	1	0	1	+0	3
26	St Pauli	2	1	0	1	-1	3
27	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	-1	3
28	Kickers Offenbach	2	1	0	1	-1	3
29	Union Berlin	2	1	0	1	-1	3
30	Mainz	2	1	0	1	-2	3
31	Holstein Kiel	2	1	0	1	-2	3
32	Wurzburger Kickers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
33	FC Saarbrücken	1	0	1	0	+0	1
34	Nurnberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
35	Sandhausen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
36	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
37	Alemannia Aachen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
38	FC Ingolstadt 04	1	0	0	1	-1	0
39	Magdeburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
40	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
41	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
42	Greifswalder FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
43	TuS Koblenz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
44	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	0	1	-2	0
45	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
46	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
47	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
48	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-2	0
49	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	0	1	-2	0
50	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
51	VfR Aalen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
52	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-3	0
53	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
54	Viktoria Berlin	1	0	0	1	-3	0
55	Phönix Lübeck	1	0	0	1	-3	0
56	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-4	0
57	Osnabruck	1	0	0	1	-4	0
58	Ulm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
59	Bremer Sv	1	0	0	1	-4	0
60	FC 08 Villingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
61	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-5	0
62	Sportfreunde Lotte	1	0	0	1	-5	0
63	SV Meppen	1	0	0	1	-6	0
64	Borussia Hildesheim	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bielefeld	3	3	0	0	+6	9
2	Regensburg	3	2	0	1	-1	6
3	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
4	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+3	3
5	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Dresden	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Freiburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Hoffenheim	1	1	0	0	+1	3
12	Stuttgart	1	1	0	0	+1	3
13	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
14	Kickers Offenbach	2	1	0	1	-1	3
15	Wurzburger Kickers	1	0	1	0	+0	1
16	FC Saarbrücken	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Sandhausen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Hallescher FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
19	Alemannia Aachen	1	0	0	1	-1	0
20	FC Ingolstadt 04	1	0	0	1	-1	0
21	Paderborn	1	0	0	1	-1	0
22	Carl Zeiss Jena	1	0	0	1	-1	0
23	Greifswalder FC	1	0	0	1	-1	0
24	TuS Koblenz	1	0	0	1	-1	0
25	Erzgebirge Aue	1	0	0	1	-2	0
26	Wehen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
27	Cottbus	1	0	0	1	-2	0
28	Teutonia Ottensen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
29	Schott Mainz	1	0	0	1	-2	0
30	VfR Aalen	1	0	0	1	-2	0
31	Braunschweig	1	0	0	1	-3	0
32	Rot-Weiß Essen	1	0	0	1	-3	0
33	Viktoria Berlin	1	0	0	1	-3	0
34	Phönix Lübeck	1	0	0	1	-3	0
35	Hansa Rostock	1	0	0	1	-4	0
36	Mainz	1	0	0	1	-4	0
37	Osnabruck	1	0	0	1	-4	0
38	Ulm	1	0	0	1	-4	0
39	Bremer Sv	1	0	0	1	-4	0
40	FC 08 Villingen	1	0	0	1	-4	0
41	Preußen Münster	1	0	0	1	-5	0
42	Sportfreunde Lotte	1	0	0	1	-5	0
43	SV Meppen	1	0	0	1	-6	0
44	Borussia Hildesheim	1	0	0	1	-7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	2	2	0	0	+8	6
2	Stuttgart	2	2	0	0	+8	6
3	Karlsruhe	2	2	0	0	+7	6
4	Darmstadt	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Werder Bremen	2	2	0	0	+3	6
6	Hamburg	2	1	0	1	+5	3
7	Elversberg	2	1	0	1	+4	3
8	Hertha	1	1	0	0	+4	3
9	Paderborn	1	1	0	0	+4	3
10	Heidenheim	2	1	0	1	+3	3
11	Ein Frankfurt	1	1	0	0	+3	3
12	RB Leipzig	1	1	0	0	+3	3
13	Augsburg	1	1	0	0	+3	3
14	Freiburg	2	1	0	1	+2	3
15	Dortmund	2	1	0	1	+2	3
16	Mainz	1	1	0	0	+2	3
17	M'gladbach	2	1	0	1	+1	3
18	FC Koln	1	1	0	0	+1	3
19	Greuther Furth	2	1	0	1	+1	3
20	Leverkusen	1	1	0	0	+1	3
21	Wolfsburg	1	1	0	0	+1	3
22	Kaiserslautern	2	1	0	1	+0	3
23	St Pauli	2	1	0	1	-1	3
24	Schalke 04	2	1	0	1	-1	3
25	Union Berlin	2	1	0	1	-1	3
26	Holstein Kiel	2	1	0	1	-2	3
27	Hoffenheim	1	0	1	0	+0	1
28	Nurnberg	2	0	1	1	-1	1
29	Magdeburg	1	0	0	1	-1	0
30	Bochum	1	0	0	1	-1	0
31	Hannover	1	0	0	1	-2	0
32	Fortuna Dusseldorf	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.