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Ligue 2

Referee: O Thual

Ajaccio

T T S T T

0–0

Full-time

Bastia

T U S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ajaccio Bastia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,0

2,7

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,7

This season — Ligue 2 · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 27%

31%

23%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 31%

23%

38%

Both score Ø 43%

31%

54%

Average goals

1,8

2,0

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

1,1

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

4 Shots 5

2 Shots on target 0

0 Blocked shots 0

2 Corners 5

23 Free kicks against 17

5 Yellow cards 1

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ajaccio 16. · Bastia 11. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	14	8	4	2	+11	28
2	Dunkerque	14	9	1	4	+5	28
3	Lorient	14	8	3	3	+11	27
4	Metz	14	7	4	3	+9	25
5	Annecy	14	6	5	3	+3	23
6	Guingamp	14	7	1	6	+5	22
7	Amiens	14	6	2	6	-1	20
8	Laval	14	5	4	5	+5	19
9	Pau FC	14	5	4	5	-1	19
10	Grenoble	14	5	3	6	+2	18
11	Bastia	13	3	8	2	+0	17
12	Rodez	14	4	4	6	+2	16
13	Clermont	14	4	4	6	-3	16
14	Caen	14	4	3	7	-3	15
15	Troyes	14	4	3	7	-6	15
16	Ajaccio	13	4	2	7	-4	14
17	Red Star	14	4	2	8	-14	14
18	Martigues	14	2	3	9	-21	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dunkerque	8	7	0	1	+7	21
2	Lorient	6	6	0	0	+12	18
3	Amiens	7	5	2	0	+8	17
4	Guingamp	8	5	1	2	+11	16
5	Metz	7	4	3	0	+9	15
6	Annecy	6	5	0	1	+7	15
7	Grenoble	7	4	2	1	+7	14
8	Pau FC	7	4	2	1	+6	14
9	Paris FC	7	4	2	1	+4	14
10	Ajaccio	6	4	1	1	+5	13
11	Bastia	7	2	5	0	+2	11
12	Caen	8	3	2	3	+0	11
13	Clermont	8	2	3	3	+1	9
14	Laval	6	2	2	2	+1	8
15	Troyes	7	2	2	3	-3	8
16	Rodez	6	2	1	3	+0	7
17	Red Star	6	2	1	3	-6	7
18	Martigues	8	0	1	7	-15	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	7	4	2	1	+7	14
2	Laval	8	3	2	3	+4	11
3	Metz	7	3	1	3	+0	10
4	Rodez	8	2	3	3	+2	9
5	Lorient	8	2	3	3	-1	9
6	Annecy	8	1	5	2	-4	8
7	Martigues	6	2	2	2	-6	8
8	Dunkerque	6	2	1	3	-2	7
9	Troyes	7	2	1	4	-3	7
10	Clermont	6	2	1	3	-4	7
11	Red Star	8	2	1	5	-8	7
12	Bastia	6	1	3	2	-2	6
13	Guingamp	6	2	0	4	-6	6
14	Pau FC	7	1	2	4	-7	5
15	Caen	6	1	1	4	-3	4
16	Grenoble	7	1	1	5	-5	4
17	Amiens	7	1	0	6	-9	3
18	Ajaccio	7	0	1	6	-9	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.